The School of Odds
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IPK v Kiekko-Vantaa

Kickoff: 2026-03-28 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IPK (Local)

Prediction 62.69%1.60fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -2.67%
Kelly -7.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.87%62.54%62.69%63.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.501.501.5369.44%66.76%66.67%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kiekko-Vantaa (Visit)

Prediction 37.31%2.68fair odd
EV -3.74%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.09%37.46%37.31%39.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.382.472.452.5842.02%40.52%40.82%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IPK (Local): 62.69%; Kiekko-Vantaa (Visit): 37.31%. For Kiekko-Vantaa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.68. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.58, with an expected value of -3.74%; they did not produce positive expected value.

10 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.09%E -2.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.20%E -4.71%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-26 07:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.09%E -2.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.20%E -4.71%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-26 07:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.09%E -2.67%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -11.20%E -4.71%K -8.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-26 07:39
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -5.34%E -3.54%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -9.34%E -3.84%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-25 10:55
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.97%E -3.98%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.72%E -2.69%K -4.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-27 05:23
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.97%E -3.98%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 11:04
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.97%E -3.98%K -11.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.59%E -3.51%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-27 11:04
Betsson🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.70%EV -7.85%E -5.34%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -3.74%E -1.45%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-28 03:05
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.70%EV -7.85%E -5.34%K -16.69%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -3.74%E -1.45%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-28 03:05
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -9.73%E -6.76%K -22.11%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -4.86%E -1.91%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-26 11:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (10)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%8.5%2026-03-26 11:59
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%8.5%2026-03-26 11:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%8.5%2026-03-26 11:59
Grosvenor🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%8.5%2026-03-26 11:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%8.5%2026-03-26 11:59
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%8.5%2026-03-26 11:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%8.5%2026-03-26 11:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.08%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.72%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.19%8.5%2026-03-26 12:00
1xBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.29%3.27I 30.58%NM 28.08%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.63%8.9%2026-03-25 19:25
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.22%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.25%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%10.6%2026-03-28 02:09