Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IPK v Kiekko-Vantaa

2026-09-25 15:30 UTC — Mestis

Head to Head

4 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IPK (Local)

Prediction 62.61%1.60fair odd
EV -6.08%
Edge -4.06%
Kelly -12.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%62.61%62.61%62.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.501.501.5067.57%66.89%66.67%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kiekko-Vantaa (Visit)

Prediction 37.39%2.67fair odd
EV -6.53%
Edge -2.61%
Kelly -4.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.28%37.39%37.39%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.492.502.502.5040.16%40.04%40.00%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: IPK (Local): 62.61%; Kiekko-Vantaa (Visit): 37.39%. For IPK (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.60. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.50, with an expected value of -6.08%; they do not produce positive expected value.

2 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (4 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.08%E -4.06%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-23 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.08%E -4.06%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-23 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.08%E -4.06%K -12.17%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.53%E -2.61%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-23 18:20
Pinnacle🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.72%EV -7.34%E -4.96%K -15.29%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.28%EV -6.90%E -2.77%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-23 18:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (2)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
1xBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.86%4.45I 22.47%NM 20.64%8.9%2026-09-23 18:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.16%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.99%9.5%2026-09-23 18:20