Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hermes v KeuPa HT

2026-09-11 15:30 UTC — Mestis

Head to Head

1 sportsbook (1 in analysis )

55%

45%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hermes (Local)

Prediction 54.52%1.83fair odd

EV -6.77%

Edge -3.96%

Kelly -9.53%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

54.52%54.52%54.52%54.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.711.711.711.7158.48%58.48%58.48%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KeuPa HT (Visit)

Prediction 45.48%2.20fair odd

EV -6.77%

Edge -3.30%

Kelly -6.45%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

45.48%45.48%45.48%45.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.052.052.052.0548.78%48.78%48.78%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Hermes (Local): 54.52%; KeuPa HT (Visit): 45.48%. For KeuPa HT (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.20. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.05, with an expected value of -6.77%; they do not produce positive expected value.

2 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (1 sportsbook)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.77%E -3.96%K -9.53%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.77%E -3.30%K -6.45%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-09-09 02:39

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (2)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Option 3	Margin ▲	Updated
1xBet🎯	2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%	2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%	8.9%	2026-09-09 02:39
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 43.19%	2.70I 37.04%NM 33.91%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.89%	9.2%	2026-09-09 02:38