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Hermes v JoKP
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hermes (Local)
assuming max odds 1.48
JoKP (Visit)
assuming max odds 2.95
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hermes (Local): 65.58%; JoKP (Visit): 34.42%. For JoKP (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.95, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.53%.
9 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -10.81%E -7.95%K -30.02%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV +1.53%E +0.519%K +0.785%G +0.012% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 11:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.18%E -5.85%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -1.91%E -0.671%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 14:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.18%E -5.85%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.35%E -1.95%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.18%E -5.85%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 07:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.18%E -5.85%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.07%E -2.62%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 07:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.72%EV -2.94%E -1.98%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.28%EV -14.30%E -5.74%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-28 13:40 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (9)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.02% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.02% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.02% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 11:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.02% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.02% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.02% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 11:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.02% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 11:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.02% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99% | 8.3% | 2026-02-28 11:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.97% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.16% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87% | 8.9% | 2026-02-28 14:01 |