The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Haukat v KeuPa HT

Kickoff: 2026-04-01 15:35 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Haukat (Local)

Prediction 31.21%3.20fair odd
EV -0.115%
Edge -0.036%
Kelly -0.052%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.89%31.52%31.21%32.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.043.003.2035.09%32.89%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KeuPa HT (Visit)

Prediction 68.79%1.45fair odd
EV -5.76%
Edge -4.21%
Kelly -15.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.54%68.48%68.79%71.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.361.3776.92%74.57%73.53%72.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Haukat (Local): 31.21%; KeuPa HT (Visit): 68.79%. For Haukat (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.204. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.200, with an expected value of -0.115%; they did not produce positive expected value.

13 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.115%E -0.036%K -0.052%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.58%E -8.14%K -35.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.115%E -0.036%K -0.052%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.58%E -8.14%K -35.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 15:30
Coral🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -0.115%E -0.036%K -0.052%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -10.58%E -8.14%K -35.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-01 15:30
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 15:29
NordicBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 15:30
Betsson🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 15:29
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.36%E -2.12%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.45%E -4.74%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-01 15:29
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -7.92%E -2.68%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -7.83%E -5.84%K -23.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-01 15:30
Pinnacle🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -11.04%E -3.87%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -5.76%E -4.21%K -15.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-01 15:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (13)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coolbet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.50%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.20%6.0%2026-04-01 15:29
Unibet (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.72%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.01%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%7.3%2026-04-01 15:30
1xBet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.12%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.90%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%8.8%2026-04-01 15:29
Unibet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.27%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.43%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.31%10.2%2026-04-01 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.58%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%10.6%2026-04-01 15:30
LeoVegas🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.58%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%10.6%2026-04-01 15:30
Grosvenor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.58%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%10.6%2026-04-01 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.58%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%10.6%2026-04-01 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.58%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%10.6%2026-04-01 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.58%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%10.6%2026-04-01 15:30
ATG (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.58%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.24%10.6%2026-04-01 15:30
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.37%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.68%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.95%11.4%2026-04-01 15:29
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 20.98%1.53I 65.36%NM 58.28%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%12.1%2026-04-01 15:29