The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

TPS v KooKoo

Kickoff: 2026-03-17 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

TPS (Local)

Prediction 39.08%2.56fair odd
EV -3.09%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.31%39.10%39.13%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.402.382.4843.48%41.71%42.02%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KooKoo (Visit)

Prediction 60.92%1.64fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -4.21%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%60.90%60.87%61.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.561.551.6065.36%64.22%64.52%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TPS (Local): 39.08%; KooKoo (Visit): 60.92%. For KooKoo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.64. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.60, with an expected value of -2.53%; they did not produce positive expected value.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.09%E -1.24%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 13:45
Betsson🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.09%E -1.24%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 10:45
NordicBet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.09%E -1.24%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 10:45
betPARX🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.09%E -1.24%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 14:15
Bally Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -3.09%E -1.24%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -6.18%E -4.01%K -11.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-17 14:15
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.26%E -1.74%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.14%E -1.97%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-17 14:15
Pinnacle🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.26%E -1.74%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.96%E -3.18%K -8.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 16:00
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -6.21%E -2.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -2.53%E -1.58%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-17 04:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.35%E -2.77%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-17 12:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.35%E -2.77%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-17 12:55
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.35%E -2.77%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-17 12:54
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.35%E -2.77%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-17 12:30
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.99%E -2.94%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.79%E -4.44%K -12.81%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-17 13:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.17%E -3.47%K -6.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.35%E -2.77%K -7.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-17 14:14
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.57%E -3.59%K -10.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 15:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.57%E -3.59%K -10.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 15:10
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.57%E -3.59%K -10.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.12%E -4.40%K -7.78%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.57%E -3.59%K -10.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-17 15:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%4.7%2026-03-17 16:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 35.90%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.10%4.7%2026-03-17 16:10
Smarkets◎2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%5.3%2026-03-17 16:20

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.70%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.1%2026-03-17 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.70%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.1%2026-03-17 14:15
Svenska Spel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.70%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.76%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%3.1%2026-03-17 14:15
Coolbet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.28%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.71%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.01%3.3%2026-03-17 10:44
Unibet (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.83%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.04%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%5.1%2026-03-17 13:45
1xBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.77%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.72%6.3%2026-03-17 16:00
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%6.5%2026-03-17 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%6.5%2026-03-17 13:44
Unibet (NL)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%6.5%2026-03-17 13:45
Grosvenor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.78%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.59%6.5%2026-03-17 13:44
Betway🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%8.6%2026-03-17 13:44
LeoVegas🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.70%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.79%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.51%9.4%2026-03-17 13:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.71%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.72%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.57%10.4%2026-03-17 13:45
Everygame🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.92%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.18%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.90%11.6%2026-03-17 13:25
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.45%1.81I 55.25%NM 47.99%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.56%15.1%2026-03-17 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.73%1.78I 56.18%NM 48.44%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.83%16.0%2026-03-17 13:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 29.39%1.78I 56.18%NM 47.88%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.73%17.3%2026-03-17 16:03