Language:English
TPS v JYP
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
TPS (Local)
Prediction 38.81%2.58fair odd
EV -2.98%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -1.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.73%38.81%38.01%40.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.362.352.5044.44%42.32%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
JYP (Visit)
Prediction 36.88%2.71fair odd
EV +3.26%
Edge +1.17%
Kelly +1.81%
Growth +0.059%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.67%36.88%37.80%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.542.552.8044.44%39.41%39.22%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 24.31%4.11fair odd
EV -0.314%
Edge -0.077%
Kelly -0.101%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.86%24.31%24.19%25.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.423.793.804.1029.24%26.40%26.32%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TPS (Local): 38.81%; JYP (Visit): 36.88%; Draw: 24.31%. For JYP (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.26%.
20 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.44%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.67%EV +3.26%E +1.17%K +1.81%G +0.059% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%EV -5.18%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-02-21 10:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.89%EV -5.70%E -2.35%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.25%EV +1.42%E +0.517%K +0.812%G +0.012% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -5.18%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.89%EV -5.70%E -2.35%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.25%EV +1.42%E +0.517%K +0.812%G +0.012% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -5.18%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.89%EV -5.70%E -2.35%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.25%EV +1.42%E +0.517%K +0.812%G +0.012% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV -5.18%E -1.33%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -8.81%E -3.75%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.40%EV -2.27%E -0.856%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -8.81%E -3.75%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.40%EV -2.27%E -0.856%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -8.81%E -3.75%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.40%EV -2.27%E -0.856%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.92%EV -8.81%E -3.75%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.40%EV -2.27%E -0.856%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -7.61%E -2.00%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -10.75%E -4.67%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%EV -4.11%E -1.58%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.80%EV -10.04%E -2.71%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%EV -2.98%E -1.19%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.10%EV -7.80%E -3.12%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -2.75%E -0.686%K -0.915%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-20 19:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.21%EV -7.25%E -3.03%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.94%EV -8.91%E -3.61%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.86%EV -0.314%E -0.077%K -0.101%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.42%EV -8.81%E -3.75%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.85%EV -9.64%E -3.94%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.73%EV -11.26%E -3.08%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-02-21 06:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -6.87%E -2.86%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -11.49%E -4.79%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-02-20 23:13 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%EV -7.64%E -3.21%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%EV -11.49%E -4.79%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%EV -8.82%E -2.35%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-02-20 19:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.31%EV -8.81%E -3.75%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.31%EV -13.33%E -5.67%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%EV -6.39%E -1.66%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-20 19:10 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.15%EV -12.69%E -5.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.32%EV -15.18%E -6.60%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.53%EV -14.90%E -4.26%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 16.5% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 37.73%EV -11.91%E -5.25%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.23%EV -15.18%E -6.60%K -11.67%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 25.04%EV -16.85%E -4.93%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-02-21 14:34 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.22%EV -12.69%E -5.64%K -10.15%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.22%EV -17.02%E -7.56%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 23.56%EV -11.26%E -3.08%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-02-20 19:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (20)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00% | 4.7% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00% | 4.7% | 2026-02-20 05:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00% | 4.7% | 2026-02-20 07:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00% | 4.7% | 2026-02-20 07:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00% | 4.7% | 2026-02-20 07:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 14:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00% | 7.0% | 2026-02-20 07:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 14:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73% | 8.1% | 2026-02-21 13:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73% | 8.7% | 2026-02-20 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73% | 8.7% | 2026-02-20 15:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73% | 8.7% | 2026-02-20 15:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73% | 8.7% | 2026-02-20 15:05 |