语言:简体中文
TPS v Ässät
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
TPS (主队)
预测 61.02%1.64公平赔率
EV -2.36%
优势 -1.48%
Kelly -3.94%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.60
博彩公司预测分布
59.49%61.17%60.89%64.36%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.441.531.531.6069.44%65.23%65.36%62.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
Ässät (客队)
预测 38.98%2.57公平赔率
EV +1.34%
优势 +0.514%
Kelly +0.835%
增长率 +0.011%
假设最高赔率为 2.60
博彩公司预测分布
35.64%38.83%39.11%40.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.352.482.502.6042.55%40.33%40.00%38.46%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：TPS (主队)：61.02%；Ässät (客队)：38.98%。 对于“Ässät (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.57。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.60，对应+1.34%的正期望值。
有 18 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。
博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -8.46%E -5.64%K -16.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +1.34%E +0.514%K +0.835%G +0.011% | 5.1% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -12.12%E -8.42%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +1.34%E +0.514%K +0.835%G +0.011% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -12.12%E -8.42%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +1.34%E +0.514%K +0.835%G +0.011% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 06:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -12.12%E -8.42%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +1.34%E +0.514%K +0.835%G +0.011% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -12.12%E -8.42%K -27.56%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV +1.34%E +0.514%K +0.835%G +0.011% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 06:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -6.63%E -4.34%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -1.78%E -0.707%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.19%E -2.67%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-14 11:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.63%E -4.34%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 11:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.63%E -4.34%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 10:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.63%E -4.34%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.56%E -1.02%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-14 10:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.35%EV -2.97%E -1.87%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.65%EV -5.68%E -2.35%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.80%E -3.08%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.46%E -2.69%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-14 11:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.58%E -2.27%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 06:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -3.58%E -2.27%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -7.24%E -3.04%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.36%E -1.48%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.41%E -3.58%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 22:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.36%E -1.48%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.41%E -3.58%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 22:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.36%E -1.48%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.41%E -3.58%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-13 22:45 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03% | 6.0% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.67% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 39.33% | 7.7% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (18)
这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。
| 博彩公司 | 选项 1 | 选项 2 | 选项 3 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.59% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.14% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27% | 3.0% | 2026-03-14 06:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 11:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.94% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26% | 3.3% | 2026-03-14 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.66% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.64% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.70% | 4.9% | 2026-03-14 11:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.30% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.28% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 14:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 11:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.29% | 6.8% | 2026-03-14 11:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.03% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.59% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 11:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.70% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74% | 9.9% | 2026-03-14 11:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.69% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.06% | 10.6% | 2026-03-14 11:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.96% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.47% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.57% | 11.5% | 2026-03-14 11:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.81% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.03% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.17% | 15.1% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 48.93% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.70% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 22.37% | 16.1% | 2026-03-14 11:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 48.56% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 28.21% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 23.23% | 17.0% | 2026-03-14 14:36 |