The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Tappara v KooKoo

Kickoff: 2026-09-30 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tappara (Local)

Prediction 76.24%1.31fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -3.12%
Kelly -15.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.75%76.18%76.19%77.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.241.251.2683.33%80.78%80.00%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KooKoo (Visit)

Prediction 23.76%4.21fair odd
EV -0.227%
Edge -0.054%
Kelly -0.071%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.65%23.82%23.81%25.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.734.004.004.2026.81%25.03%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tappara (Local): 76.24%; KooKoo (Visit): 23.76%. For KooKoo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.21. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.20, with an expected value of -0.227%; they did not produce positive expected value.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -3.93%E -3.12%K -15.12%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV -3.79%E -0.936%K -1.24%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-30 15:15
Pinnacle🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.75%EV -3.93%E -3.12%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.25%EV -11.39%E -3.05%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-30 15:01
DraftKings🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.69%E -3.76%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -2.60%E -0.635%K -0.840%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-30 14:40
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.69%E -3.76%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-30 13:35
888sport🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.69%E -3.76%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-28 15:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.69%E -3.76%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-28 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.69%E -3.76%K -18.78%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-28 15:30
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.69%E -3.76%K -18.78%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -6.17%E -1.56%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-30 15:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -5.46%E -4.40%K -22.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -10.92%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-30 13:34
BetRivers🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.22%E -5.06%K -27.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -0.227%E -0.054%K -0.071%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-30 15:15
Bally Bet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.22%E -5.06%K -27.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -0.227%E -0.054%K -0.071%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-30 15:15
betPARX🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -6.22%E -5.06%K -27.04%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -0.227%E -0.054%K -0.071%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-30 15:15
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -6.98%E -5.72%K -31.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -10.92%E -2.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-30 09:15
Coral🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.51%E -7.09%K -42.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-28 14:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.51%E -7.09%K -42.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -4.98%E -1.24%K -1.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-28 14:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%8.6%2026-09-30 13:45

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.71%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.14%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.15%3.2%2026-09-30 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.71%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.14%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.15%3.2%2026-09-30 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.71%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.14%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.15%3.2%2026-09-30 15:15
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.83%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.74%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.43%3.3%2026-09-30 11:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.70%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.95%6.1%2026-09-30 13:45
1xBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.23%6.01I 16.64%NM 15.66%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.11%6.2%2026-09-30 14:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.87%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%6.8%2026-09-30 15:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.87%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%6.8%2026-09-30 15:15
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.87%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%6.8%2026-09-30 15:15
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.87%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.99%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.15%6.8%2026-09-30 15:15
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.64%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.98%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.38%8.8%2026-09-30 13:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.03%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.31%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%8.9%2026-09-30 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.52%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.75%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.73%10.6%2026-09-30 13:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 64.72%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.42%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.86%12.8%2026-09-30 15:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.64%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.27%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.10%12.9%2026-09-30 15:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 64.39%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.26%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.36%15.9%2026-09-30 13:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 63.03%4.85I 20.62%NM 17.16%4.20I 23.81%NM 19.81%20.2%2026-09-30 13:45