Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.54
assuming max odds 2.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tappara (Local): 63.37%; KooKoo (Visit): 36.63%. For KooKoo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.56%.
18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -7.48%E -5.12%K -16.25%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV +2.56%E +0.913%K +1.42%G +0.036% | 4.2% | 2026-05-13 11:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -5.57%E -3.74%K -11.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -2.94%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-13 10:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.21%E -4.19%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.94%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 10:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.21%E -4.19%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.94%E -1.11%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-13 10:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 11:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-13 11:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 04:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 04:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 04:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-12 04:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 07:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 07:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 07:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.74%E -6.07%K -19.87%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -4.77%E -1.83%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-13 07:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.41%E -1.56%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.60%E -2.59%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.67%E -2.42%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.60%E -2.59%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-13 15:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.94%E -3.29%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.43%E -3.37%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-12 04:08 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.04%E -1.99%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -10.26%E -4.19%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 8.3% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.63% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.68% | 1.3% | 2026-05-11 21:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.50% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65% | 3.1% | 2026-05-13 10:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.50% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65% | 3.1% | 2026-05-13 10:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.50% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.85% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65% | 3.1% | 2026-05-13 10:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.93% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.72% | 5.4% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.74% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.33% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93% | 6.4% | 2026-05-13 15:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 10:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 10:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 10:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.60% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.40% | 6.8% | 2026-05-13 10:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.19% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53% | 8.7% | 2026-05-12 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.51% | 9.1% | 2026-05-13 10:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.70% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.41% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.90% | 10.6% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.14% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.99% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.88% | 11.7% | 2026-05-13 14:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 50.68% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.85% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.47% | 12.1% | 2026-05-13 10:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.21% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.84% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.94% | 12.9% | 2026-05-13 15:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.07% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 26.86% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.07% | 13.8% | 2026-05-13 15:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 49.15% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.46% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.38% | 15.6% | 2026-05-13 11:15 |