The School of Odds
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Tappara v KooKoo

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tappara (Local)

Prediction 66.81%1.50fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -5.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.22%66.84%66.82%68.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.421.421.4671.43%70.48%70.42%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KooKoo (Visit)

Prediction 33.19%3.01fair odd
EV -0.434%
Edge -0.145%
Kelly -0.217%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.82%33.16%33.18%34.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.832.803.0037.04%35.28%35.71%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tappara (Local): 66.81%; KooKoo (Visit): 33.19%. For KooKoo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.01. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -0.434%; they did not produce positive expected value.

18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -2.46%E -1.68%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -7.07%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-09 09:24
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.73%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 02:24
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.73%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 02:24
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.73%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 02:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -8.73%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-09 02:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -3.79%E -2.63%K -8.62%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -10.39%E -3.85%K -6.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-09 08:34
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -5.13%E -3.61%K -12.21%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -0.434%E -0.145%K -0.217%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-09 12:39
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -5.13%E -3.61%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -4.75%E -1.65%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-09 13:54
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.13%E -3.61%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 12:39
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -5.13%E -3.61%K -12.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -5.41%E -1.90%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-09 12:38
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.46%E -4.62%K -16.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.434%E -0.145%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 05:39
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.46%E -4.62%K -16.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.434%E -0.145%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 11:09
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.46%E -4.62%K -16.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -0.434%E -0.145%K -0.217%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-09 11:09
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.46%E -4.62%K -16.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.07%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 06:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.46%E -4.62%K -16.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.07%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 06:14
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.46%E -4.62%K -16.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.07%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 06:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.46%E -4.62%K -16.16%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.07%E -2.53%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-09 06:14
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.46%E -4.62%K -16.16%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.73%E -3.18%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-09 08:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%8.4%2026-05-09 13:34

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.85%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.62%2.0%2026-05-09 13:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.84%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.84%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%3.0%2026-05-09 11:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.84%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.84%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%3.0%2026-05-09 11:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.84%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.84%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.32%3.0%2026-05-09 11:09
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%6.3%2026-05-09 08:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%6.3%2026-05-09 11:09
Casumo🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%6.3%2026-05-09 08:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%6.3%2026-05-09 11:09
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.64%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%6.4%2026-05-09 13:34
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.61%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%6.6%2026-05-09 08:34
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.80%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.88%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.32%9.3%2026-05-09 11:09
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.09%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.70%10.1%2026-05-09 08:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.18%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.77%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.05%10.6%2026-05-09 08:34
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.64%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.98%11.2%2026-05-09 12:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 54.63%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.54%12.3%2026-05-09 11:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 52.42%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.27%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.31%12.9%2026-05-09 13:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 52.25%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.52%3.78I 26.46%NM 23.22%13.9%2026-05-09 13:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 52.59%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.00%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.40%15.9%2026-05-09 08:34