Language:English
Tappara v Jukurit
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Tappara (Local)
Prediction 79.93%1.25fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -11.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.17%79.75%79.98%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.161.151.2289.29%86.21%86.96%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jukurit (Visit)
Prediction 7.30%13.70fair odd
EV +2.21%
Edge +0.158%
Kelly +0.170%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 14.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.56%7.35%7.44%9.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.5012.0412.5014.0010.53%8.30%8.00%7.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 12.77%7.83fair odd
EV +14.90%
Edge +1.66%
Kelly +1.86%
Growth +0.277%
assuming max odds 9.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.76%12.90%12.57%16.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.507.667.889.0018.18%13.06%12.70%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tappara (Local): 79.93%; Jukurit (Visit): 7.30%; Draw: 12.77%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.83. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +14.90%.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.72%EV -4.88%E -4.10%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.48%EV -5.09%E -0.391%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +14.90%E +1.66%K +1.86%G +0.277% | 2.8% | 2026-03-04 10:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.72%EV -4.88%E -4.10%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.48%EV -5.09%E -0.391%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +14.90%E +1.66%K +1.86%G +0.277% | 2.8% | 2026-03-04 10:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.72%EV -4.88%E -4.10%K -25.69%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.48%EV -5.09%E -0.391%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.80%EV +14.90%E +1.66%K +1.86%G +0.277% | 2.8% | 2026-03-04 10:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -8.08%E -7.02%K -53.85%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -8.74%E -0.699%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV +8.52%E +1.00%K +1.14%G +0.097% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 10:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -8.08%E -7.02%K -53.85%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -8.74%E -0.699%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV +8.52%E +1.00%K +1.14%G +0.097% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 10:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -8.08%E -7.02%K -53.85%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -8.74%E -0.699%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV +8.52%E +1.00%K +1.14%G +0.097% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 10:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.48%EV -8.08%E -7.02%K -53.85%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.50%EV -8.74%E -0.699%K -0.760%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV +8.52%E +1.00%K +1.14%G +0.097% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 10:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.63%EV -10.48%E -9.35%K -87.30%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.62%EV -12.39%E -1.03%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV +8.52%E +1.00%K +1.14%G +0.097% | 9.4% | 2026-03-04 10:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.97%EV -10.48%E -9.35%K -87.30%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.56%EV +2.21%E +0.158%K +0.170%G +0.004% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.48%EV +2.13%E +0.267%K +0.305%G +0.006% | 8.9% | 2026-03-04 11:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 80.05%EV -3.28%E -2.71%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.45%EV -5.09%E -0.391%K -0.424%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.50%EV -1.06%E -0.137%K -0.157%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-04 10:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.67%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.11%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV +2.21%E +0.158%K +0.170%G +0.004% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.58%EV -4.25%E -0.567%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 12:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.00%EV -8.88%E -7.79%K -63.41%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.58%EV -23.34%E -2.22%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.42%EV -7.44%E -1.03%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-03-04 12:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.10%EV -2.48%E -2.03%K -11.28%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.65%EV -28.82%E -2.96%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.25%EV -9.36%E -1.32%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 20:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.07%EV -6.48%E -5.54%K -38.11%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.71%EV -12.39%E -1.03%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.22%EV -10.63%E -1.52%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 12:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 77.10%EV -10.48%E -9.35%K -87.30%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.09%EV -30.64%E -3.23%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 13.82%EV -20.21%E -3.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-03-04 12:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 77.35%EV -9.68%E -8.56%K -74.43%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.32%EV -23.34%E -2.22%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.33%EV -22.12%E -3.63%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-03-04 13:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 76.97%EV -9.68%E -8.56%K -74.43%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.28%EV -23.34%E -2.22%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.74%EV -24.68%E -4.18%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-04 12:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 76.17%EV -5.68%E -4.81%K -31.55%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.49%EV -12.39%E -1.03%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.34%EV -29.78%E -5.42%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-04 12:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (22)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23% | 4.1% | 2026-03-04 15:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 10:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 10:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 10:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 12:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 12:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 12:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 11:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 11:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 11:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 14:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.45% | 6.46I 15.48%NM 14.55% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 12:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 12:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 13:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37% | 6.9% | 2026-03-04 13:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 10:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.82% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.18% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 10:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.16% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.84% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-03-04 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-03-04 15:55 |