Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sport v TPS

2026-09-09 15:30 UTC — Liiga

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

31%

44%

24%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sport (Local)

Prediction 31.17%3.21fair odd

EV -1.81%

Edge -0.574%

Kelly -0.841%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

30.78%31.17%31.17%32.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.602.852.853.1538.46%35.05%35.09%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

TPS (Visit)

Prediction 44.50%2.25fair odd

EV -3.44%

Edge -1.59%

Kelly -2.94%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.17

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

43.93%44.50%44.50%45.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.902.022.002.1752.63%49.44%50.00%46.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.33%4.11fair odd

EV +2.19%

Edge +0.522%

Kelly +0.685%

Growth +0.015%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

22.43%24.33%24.33%24.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.503.803.754.2028.57%26.29%26.67%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sport (Local): 31.17%; TPS (Visit): 44.50%; Draw: 24.33%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.11. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.20, producing a positive expected value of +2.19%.

6 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Draw ▼	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	2.94I 34.01%NM 32.05%EV -8.36%E -2.84%K -4.31%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.52%EV -7.89%E -3.81%K -7.38%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.43%EV +2.19%E +0.522%K +0.685%G +0.015%	6.1%	2026-09-06 18:30
Coolbet🎯	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.78%EV -1.81%E -0.574%K -0.841%G +0.000%	2.17I 46.08%NM 44.68%EV -3.44%E -1.59%K -2.94%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%EV -3.89%E -0.985%K -1.32%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-09-06 17:10
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.07%EV -12.72%E -4.54%K -7.07%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90%EV -11.01%E -5.50%K -11.01%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -5.11%E -1.31%K -1.76%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-09-06 17:30
Paddy Power🎯	2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%EV -10.23%E -3.55%K -5.44%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%EV -11.01%E -5.50%K -11.01%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%EV -8.76%E -2.34%K -3.18%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-09-06 17:29
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 31.57%EV -11.16%E -3.92%K -6.03%G +0.000%	2.03I 49.26%NM 44.32%EV -9.67%E -4.76%K -9.39%G +0.000%	3.73I 26.81%NM 24.12%EV -9.24%E -2.48%K -3.39%G +0.000%	11.2%	2026-09-06 17:29
Unibet (FR)🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -14.28%E -5.19%K -8.16%G +0.000%	1.99I 50.25%NM 43.93%EV -11.45%E -5.75%K -11.57%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 24.28%EV -12.41%E -3.45%K -4.77%G +0.000%	14.4%	2026-09-06 17:29
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 32.14%EV -18.95%E -7.29%K -11.85%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 43.98%EV -15.46%E -8.13%K -17.17%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 23.88%EV -14.84%E -4.24%K -5.94%G +0.000%	19.7%	2026-09-06 17:29

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (6)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Margin ▲	Updated
NordicBet🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%	1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%	4.0%	2026-09-06 17:29
Betsson🎯	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%	5.1%	2026-09-06 17:30
theScore Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%	1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%	5.3%	2026-09-06 17:30
Pinnacle🎯	2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%	5.9%	2026-09-06 17:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%	6.1%	2026-09-06 17:30
Smarkets◎	2.08I 48.08%NM 43.63%	1.61I 62.11%NM 56.37%	10.2%	2026-09-06 17:30