The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Sport v SaiPa

2026-10-23 15:30 UTC — Liiga

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sport (Local)

Prediction 33.97%2.94fair odd
EV -4.89%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -2.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.76%33.97%34.00%34.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.622.652.8041.67%38.19%37.74%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SaiPa (Visit)

Prediction 42.26%2.37fair odd
EV -4.91%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -3.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.58%42.26%41.98%42.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.122.152.2550.00%47.11%46.51%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.77%4.21fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -0.621%
Kelly -0.821%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.95%23.77%24.03%24.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.803.904.1028.99%26.32%25.64%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sport (Local): 33.97%; SaiPa (Visit): 42.26%; Draw: 23.77%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.21. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.10, with an expected value of -2.54%; they do not produce positive expected value.

5 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.76%EV -4.89%E -1.75%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%EV -7.30%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-20 20:55
1xBet🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 34.47%EV -7.27%E -2.66%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 42.58%EV -6.60%E -2.99%K -5.45%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -2.54%E -0.621%K -0.821%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-20 21:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.29%E -3.07%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.85%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -4.92%E -1.23%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-20 21:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.02%EV -9.99%E -3.77%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.93%EV -9.13%E -4.25%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.04%EV -10.86%E -2.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-20 20:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.43%EV -11.69%E -4.50%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -11.25%E -5.36%K -10.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.95%EV -7.30%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-20 20:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 34.07%EV -16.78%E -6.85%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.74%EV -15.47%E -7.74%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.19%EV -17.99%E -5.22%K -7.34%G +0.000%19.8%2026-10-20 20:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 34.65%EV -18.48%E -7.70%K -13.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 41.58%EV -15.47%E -7.74%K -15.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.76%EV -16.81%E -4.80%K -6.72%G +0.000%20.2%2026-10-20 20:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (5)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.29%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.71%5.7%2026-10-20 20:50
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%6.3%2026-10-20 20:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%6.3%2026-10-20 20:50
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%7.5%2026-10-20 20:45
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%10.0%2026-10-20 20:50