Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 12.00
assuming max odds 1.24
assuming max odds 8.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sport (Local): 8.91%; KooKoo (Visit): 76.64%; Draw: 14.46%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.92. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.64%.
22 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.78%EV -2.04%E -0.186%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.15%EV -6.50%E -5.33%K -29.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.07%EV +15.64%E +1.96%K +2.23%G +0.350% | 3.6% | 2026-02-25 11:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.78%EV -2.04%E -0.186%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.15%EV -6.50%E -5.33%K -29.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.07%EV +15.64%E +1.96%K +2.23%G +0.350% | 3.6% | 2026-02-25 11:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.78%EV -2.04%E -0.186%K -0.204%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.15%EV -6.50%E -5.33%K -29.54%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.07%EV +15.64%E +1.96%K +2.23%G +0.350% | 3.6% | 2026-02-25 11:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -6.50%E -0.619%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.23%EV -8.80%E -7.39%K -46.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +15.64%E +1.96%K +2.23%G +0.350% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 11:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -6.50%E -0.619%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.23%EV -8.80%E -7.39%K -46.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +15.64%E +1.96%K +2.23%G +0.350% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 11:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -6.50%E -0.619%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.23%EV -8.80%E -7.39%K -46.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +15.64%E +1.96%K +2.23%G +0.350% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 11:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -6.50%E -0.619%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.23%EV -8.80%E -7.39%K -46.31%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV +15.64%E +1.96%K +2.23%G +0.350% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 11:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.13%EV -10.95%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.70%EV -11.10%E -9.57%K -69.36%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.17%EV +8.42%E +1.12%K +1.29%G +0.109% | 9.5% | 2026-02-25 11:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV -6.50%E -0.619%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.20%EV -7.27%E -6.01%K -34.60%G +0.000% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 12.79%EV +6.97%E +0.942%K +1.09%G +0.076% | 5.7% | 2026-02-25 15:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.09%EV +6.86%E +0.572%K +0.624%G +0.043% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.25%EV -4.97%E -4.01%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 7.10I 14.08%NM 13.67%EV +2.63%E +0.371%K +0.432%G +0.011% | 3.1% | 2026-02-25 11:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.07%EV -6.50%E -0.619%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.82%EV -4.97%E -4.01%K -20.70%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.11%EV -2.43%E -0.359%K -0.422%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-25 13:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.59%EV -24.31%E -2.86%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.01%EV -8.03%E -6.69%K -40.16%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.40%EV -9.65%E -1.54%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-25 13:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.74%EV -6.50%E -0.619%K -0.684%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.46%EV -8.03%E -6.69%K -40.16%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 14.80%EV -10.38%E -1.67%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-25 11:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -15.40%E -1.62%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -6.50%E -5.33%K -29.54%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -13.27%E -2.21%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-25 11:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.13%EV -30.99%E -4.00%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 73.73%EV -10.33%E -8.83%K -60.77%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 15.13%EV -17.60%E -3.09%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-02-25 13:25 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 10.53%EV -26.98%E -3.29%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 73.18%EV -9.57%E -8.11%K -53.14%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 16.29%EV -23.39%E -4.41%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-02-25 16:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 8.90%EV -10.95%E -1.09%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.15%EV -8.03%E -6.69%K -40.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 16.95%EV -24.11%E -4.59%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-02-25 10:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.70%EV -28.76%E -3.59%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 72.52%EV -9.57%E -8.11%K -53.14%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.78%EV -26.28%E -5.15%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-02-25 16:09 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.31% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.69% | 3.9% | 2026-02-25 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64% | 4.0% | 2026-02-25 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64% | 4.0% | 2026-02-25 15:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 13:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 13:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 11:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 11:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 11:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 11:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 11:35 |
| 888sport🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 11:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 11:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27% | 6.0% | 2026-02-25 11:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82% | 6.2% | 2026-02-25 16:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70% | 6.7% | 2026-02-25 11:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 14:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 13:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.98I 16.72%NM 15.66% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.34% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 15:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 09:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 09:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 09:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 09:35 |