The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Sport v KooKoo

2026-10-15 15:30 UTC — Liiga

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sport (Local)

Prediction 56.59%1.77fair odd
EV +1.30%
Edge +0.724%
Kelly +1.64%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 1.79

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.40%56.38%58.14%58.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.711.781.7962.11%58.40%56.18%55.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KooKoo (Visit)

Prediction 43.41%2.30fair odd
EV -0.157%
Edge -0.068%
Kelly -0.121%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.28%43.62%41.86%46.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.042.152.082.3049.02%46.56%48.08%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sport (Local): 56.59%; KooKoo (Visit): 43.41%. For Sport (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.77. 5 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.79, producing a positive expected value of +1.30%.

15 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV +1.30%E +0.724%K +1.64%G +0.021%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -9.71%E -4.67%K -8.99%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-12 15:49
Betsson🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV +0.731%E +0.410%K +0.937%G +0.007%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -11.44%E -5.61%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 15:49
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV +0.731%E +0.410%K +0.937%G +0.007%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -11.44%E -5.61%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 19:59
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV +0.731%E +0.410%K +0.937%G +0.007%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -11.44%E -5.61%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 19:59
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV +0.731%E +0.410%K +0.937%G +0.007%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -11.44%E -5.61%K -11.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-12 19:59
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.63%E -4.02%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -0.157%E -0.068%K -0.121%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-12 19:44
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.33%E -1.03%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-12 19:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.32%E -5.14%K -13.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -2.33%E -1.03%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-12 19:59
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -8.89%E -5.52%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -0.592%E -0.258%K -0.459%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-12 19:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 57.53%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.47%10.0%2026-10-12 19:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-12 19:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-12 19:19

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (15)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.63%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%3.1%2026-10-12 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.63%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%3.1%2026-10-12 16:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 41.63%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.27%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%3.1%2026-10-12 16:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.76%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.56%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.68%5.6%2026-10-12 19:59
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.34%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.26%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%6.3%2026-10-12 19:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%6.6%2026-10-12 15:39
Casumo🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%6.6%2026-10-12 15:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%6.6%2026-10-12 15:39
Grosvenor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.70%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.41%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.89%6.6%2026-10-12 15:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%7.8%2026-10-12 20:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.79%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.26%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.95%10.3%2026-10-12 19:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.47%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.83%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%11.1%2026-10-12 19:56
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.89%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.17%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.94%11.4%2026-10-12 19:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 45.19%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.38%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.42%20.3%2026-10-12 19:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 44.73%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.06%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.21%21.5%2026-10-12 20:00
Arbitrage (10 combinations) +0.66%NordicBet 1.79 (56.2%) / DraftKings 2.30 (43.8%)Show all 10 combinations
Sport (Local)KooKoo (Visit)Margin
NordicBet🎯 1.79 (56.2%)DraftKings🎯 2.30 (43.8%)+0.660%
NordicBet🎯 1.79 (56.1%)Pinnacle🎯 2.29 (43.9%)+0.468%
Betsson🎯 1.78 (56.4%)DraftKings🎯 2.30 (43.6%)+0.343%
BetRivers🎯 1.78 (56.4%)DraftKings🎯 2.30 (43.6%)+0.343%
betPARX🎯 1.78 (56.4%)DraftKings🎯 2.30 (43.6%)+0.343%
Bally Bet🎯 1.78 (56.4%)DraftKings🎯 2.30 (43.6%)+0.343%
Betsson🎯 1.78 (56.3%)Pinnacle🎯 2.29 (43.7%)+0.152%
BetRivers🎯 1.78 (56.3%)Pinnacle🎯 2.29 (43.7%)+0.152%
betPARX🎯 1.78 (56.3%)Pinnacle🎯 2.29 (43.7%)+0.152%
Bally Bet🎯 1.78 (56.3%)Pinnacle🎯 2.29 (43.7%)+0.152%