La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.20
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.21
19 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +4.62%E +0.889%K +1.10%G +0.051% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -7.34%E -6.33%K -45.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 11:50 |
| betPARX | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +4.62%E +0.889%K +1.10%G +0.051% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -7.34%E -6.33%K -45.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 11:50 |
| Bally Bet | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +4.62%E +0.889%K +1.10%G +0.051% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -7.34%E -6.33%K -45.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-28 11:50 |
| Bovada | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +0.597%E +0.119%K +0.149%G +0.001% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -8.14%E -7.08%K -54.25%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| theScore Bet | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -3.43%E -0.714%K -0.902%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.74%E -4.87%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 12:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -4.43%E -0.933%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -5.74%E -4.87%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-28 11:30 |
| DraftKings | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -5.44%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -3.34%E -2.76%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 11:35 |
| NordicBet | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -5.44%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.94%E -4.15%K -26.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 11:20 |
| Betsson | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -5.44%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -4.94%E -4.15%K -26.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 11:00 |
| Pinnacle | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.07%EV -5.44%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.93%EV -5.74%E -4.87%K -31.89%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 11:50 |
| Neds | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -7.45%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -8.14%E -7.08%K -54.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Coral | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -7.45%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -8.14%E -7.08%K -54.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -7.45%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -8.14%E -7.08%K -54.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -7.45%E -1.62%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -8.14%E -7.08%K -54.25%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 11:50 |
| 888sport | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.46%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 01:44 |
| William Hill | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.46%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 01:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.46%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 01:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -9.46%E -2.10%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.14%E -3.45%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 01:44 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.67% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.33% | 11.1% | 2026-02-28 14:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.67% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.33% | 11.1% | 2026-02-28 14:10 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.43% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.62% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.95% | 2.9% | 2026-02-28 11:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.43% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.62% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.95% | 2.9% | 2026-02-28 11:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.43% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.62% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.95% | 2.9% | 2026-02-28 11:50 |
| Coolbet | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.52% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.83% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.65% | 3.0% | 2026-02-28 11:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.66% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.72% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 11:50 |
| Grosvenor | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.72% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 11:50 |
| Casumo | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.72% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 11:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.72% | 6.1% | 2026-02-28 11:50 |
| 1xBet | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.81% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.03% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.16% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 11:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.27% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.87% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 13:00 |
| LeoVegas | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 73.89% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.66% | 9.1% | 2026-02-28 11:50 |
| Betway | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.89% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.99% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.12% | 10.8% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Everygame | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.43% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.70% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.87% | 11.6% | 2026-02-28 13:35 |
| Paddy Power | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.70% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.13% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.17% | 12.5% | 2026-02-28 11:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.41% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 68.63% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.96% | 15.6% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 6.30I 15.87%NM 13.68% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 68.38% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.95% | 16.1% | 2026-02-28 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 13.72% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 68.04% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.24% | 16.6% | 2026-02-28 14:34 |