赔率学院

Sport v KalPa

开赛时间: 2026-03-04 16:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (5 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:IQM

Sport (主队)

预测 16.79%5.96公平赔率
EV +4.95%
优势 +0.792%
Kelly +0.942%
增长率 +0.047%

假设最高赔率为 6.25

博彩公司预测分布
15.36%16.84%16.90%18.76%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.605.705.796.2521.74%17.56%17.27%16.00%MIN均值中位数MAX

KalPa (客队)

预测 64.02%1.56公平赔率
EV -3.97%
优势 -2.65%
Kelly -7.94%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.50

博彩公司预测分布
62.07%64.01%63.93%67.90%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
1.351.421.421.5074.07%70.62%70.42%66.67%MIN均值中位数MAX

平局

预测 19.19%5.21公平赔率
EV +11.29%
优势 +1.95%
Kelly +2.35%
增长率 +0.265%

假设最高赔率为 5.80

博彩公司预测分布
16.60%19.16%19.17%21.52%MIN均值中位数MAX
赔率分布
4.205.145.055.8023.81%19.44%19.80%17.24%MIN均值中位数MAX

有 22 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项(2 个赛果,而分析采用 3 个赛果)。由于这一差异,应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
LeoVegas (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.51%EV +4.95%E +0.792%K +0.942%G +0.047%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.78%EV -8.45%E -5.91%K -19.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.71%EV +11.29%E +1.95%K +2.35%G +0.265%3.2%2026-03-04 14:30
Svenska Spel6.25I 16.00%NM 15.51%EV +4.95%E +0.792%K +0.942%G +0.047%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.78%EV -8.45%E -5.91%K -19.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.71%EV +11.29%E +1.95%K +2.35%G +0.265%3.2%2026-03-04 14:55
ATG (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.51%EV +4.95%E +0.792%K +0.942%G +0.047%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.78%EV -8.45%E -5.91%K -19.65%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.71%EV +11.29%E +1.95%K +2.35%G +0.265%3.2%2026-03-04 14:54
Casumo6.10I 16.39%NM 15.36%EV +2.43%E +0.398%K +0.476%G +0.012%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.90%EV -11.65%E -8.44%K -30.66%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV +7.45%E +1.33%K +1.62%G +0.121%6.7%2026-03-04 14:30
Unibet (NL)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.36%EV +2.43%E +0.398%K +0.476%G +0.012%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.90%EV -11.65%E -8.44%K -30.66%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV +7.45%E +1.33%K +1.62%G +0.121%6.7%2026-03-04 14:29
Unibet (SE)6.10I 16.39%NM 15.36%EV +2.43%E +0.398%K +0.476%G +0.012%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.90%EV -11.65%E -8.44%K -30.66%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV +7.45%E +1.33%K +1.62%G +0.121%6.7%2026-03-04 14:30
Grosvenor6.10I 16.39%NM 15.36%EV +2.43%E +0.398%K +0.476%G +0.012%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.90%EV -11.65%E -8.44%K -30.66%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.73%EV +7.45%E +1.33%K +1.62%G +0.121%6.7%2026-03-04 14:29
LeoVegas5.80I 17.24%NM 15.75%EV -2.61%E -0.450%K -0.543%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 67.65%EV -13.57%E -10.05%K -38.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.60%EV +5.53%E +1.01%K +1.23%G +0.068%9.5%2026-03-04 14:30
1xBet5.78I 17.30%NM 16.27%EV -2.94%E -0.509%K -0.616%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -7.81%E -5.42%K -17.75%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.44%EV -2.14%E -0.420%K -0.523%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-03 18:25
Coolbet6.15I 16.26%NM 15.80%EV +3.27%E +0.532%K +0.635%G +0.021%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.77%EV -3.97%E -2.65%K -7.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.43%EV -4.06%E -0.812%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-04 13:15
Unibet (UK)5.60I 17.86%NM 16.94%EV -5.97%E -1.07%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.09%EV -5.25%E -3.55%K -10.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -4.06%E -0.812%K -1.02%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 12:20
Tipico (DE)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10%EV -4.29%E -0.752%K -0.912%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -10.37%E -7.41%K -25.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35%EV -4.06%E -0.812%K -1.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-04 06:05
Winamax (DE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.13%EV -16.04%E -3.21%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.38%EV -8.45%E -5.91%K -19.65%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.50%EV -5.98%E -1.22%K -1.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-04 12:19
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.39%EV -11.84%E -2.26%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.39%EV -7.81%E -5.42%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -8.86%E -1.87%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-04 12:19
Winamax (FR)4.60I 21.74%NM 18.76%EV -22.76%E -4.95%K -6.32%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 62.07%EV -11.01%E -7.92%K -28.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.17%EV -13.66%E -3.03%K -3.90%G +0.000%15.9%2026-03-04 12:20
Parions Sport (FR)4.90I 20.41%NM 17.93%EV -17.72%E -3.62%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 62.32%EV -9.73%E -6.90%K -23.73%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.75%EV -14.62%E -3.28%K -4.24%G +0.000%13.8%2026-03-04 13:35
Betclic (FR)4.85I 20.62%NM 17.96%EV -18.56%E -3.83%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.23%EV -10.37%E -7.41%K -25.93%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.80%EV -15.57%E -3.54%K -4.58%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-04 12:19
Everygame5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -3.45%E -0.600%K -0.726%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.76%EV -7.81%E -5.42%K -17.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -19.41%E -4.62%K -6.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-04 12:45
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (22)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同,因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同,并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
DraftKings3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%4.2%2026-03-02 14:04
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%4.5%2026-03-04 12:20
BetRivers4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%5.0%2026-03-04 14:29
Bally Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%5.0%2026-03-04 14:54
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%5.0%2026-03-04 14:55
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%5.3%2026-03-04 09:50
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%5.3%2026-03-04 10:45
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%5.3%2026-03-04 09:50
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%5.3%2026-03-04 09:50
Betsson3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%5.3%2026-03-04 10:58
NordicBet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%5.3%2026-03-04 11:00
Pinnacle3.92I 25.51%NM 24.03%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.97%6.2%2026-03-04 16:00
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%6.7%2026-03-04 13:04
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%7.3%2026-03-04 12:20
Smarkets3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.25%8.4%2026-03-04 12:20
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%8.6%2026-03-04 12:19
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%8.6%2026-03-02 20:14
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%8.6%2026-03-02 20:14
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%8.6%2026-03-02 20:14
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%8.6%2026-03-02 20:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-03-03 20:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-03-03 20:55