The School of Odds
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Sport v JYP

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sport (Local)

Prediction 20.40%4.90fair odd
EV +2.01%
Edge +0.401%
Kelly +0.502%
Growth +0.010%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.96%20.40%20.38%21.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.664.605.0022.73%21.45%21.74%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

JYP (Visit)

Prediction 79.60%1.26fair odd
EV -2.09%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -9.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
78.15%79.60%79.62%81.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.171.181.191.2385.47%84.43%84.39%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sport (Local): 20.40%; JYP (Visit): 79.60%. For Sport (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.90. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.01%.

18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.01%E +0.401%K +0.502%G +0.010%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.87%E -5.87%K -40.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 11:15
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.01%E +0.401%K +0.502%G +0.010%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.87%E -5.87%K -40.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 14:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV +2.01%E +0.401%K +0.502%G +0.010%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -6.87%E -5.87%K -40.41%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 14:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV -3.09%E -0.651%K -0.825%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -6.07%E -5.15%K -33.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 10:59
Pinnacle🎯4.74I 21.10%NM 19.80%EV -3.30%E -0.696%K -0.882%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.20%EV -6.87%E -5.87%K -40.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 14:55
NordicBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -4.11%E -0.875%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.28%E -4.44%K -27.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 14:45
Betsson🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -4.11%E -0.875%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.28%E -4.44%K -27.78%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 14:45
BetRivers🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.15%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.28%E -4.44%K -27.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 11:00
Bally Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.15%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.28%E -4.44%K -27.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 10:59
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -6.15%E -1.34%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -5.28%E -4.44%K -27.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 11:00
William Hill🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.19%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.48%E -3.73%K -22.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 00:29
888sport🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -8.19%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -4.48%E -3.73%K -22.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 00:14
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.19%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.87%E -5.87%K -40.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 00:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.19%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.87%E -5.87%K -40.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 08:09
Coral🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -8.19%E -1.82%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -6.87%E -5.87%K -40.41%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 08:10
DraftKings🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -10.23%E -2.33%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -2.09%E -1.70%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 00:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%5.4%2026-03-07 14:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%5.4%2026-03-07 14:34
Smarkets◎4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%1.16I 86.21%NM 79.14%8.9%2026-03-07 11:09

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coolbet🎯9.00I 11.11%NM 10.79%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.02%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.19%3.0%2026-03-07 10:56
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.81%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.63%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.56%4.1%2026-03-07 11:00
ATG (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.81%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.63%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.56%4.1%2026-03-07 11:00
Svenska Spel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.81%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.63%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.56%4.1%2026-03-07 11:00
Unibet (UK)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.91%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.66%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%4.9%2026-03-07 11:09
1xBet🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.33%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.54%6.4%2026-03-07 14:30
Unibet (NL)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%6.4%2026-03-07 11:00
Grosvenor🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%6.4%2026-03-07 11:00
Unibet (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%6.4%2026-03-07 10:59
Casumo🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.68%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%6.4%2026-03-07 11:00
Betway🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%8.4%2026-03-07 11:10
Tipico (DE)🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 11.78%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.37%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.85%8.8%2026-03-07 14:30
LeoVegas🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.32%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%9.4%2026-03-07 11:00
Winamax (DE)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.37%1.28I 78.13%NM 70.51%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.12%10.8%2026-03-07 11:10
Everygame🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.58%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%11.8%2026-03-07 12:54
Parions Sport (FR)🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 13.18%1.26I 79.37%NM 69.06%4.90I 20.41%NM 17.76%14.9%2026-03-07 14:49
Winamax (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 13.84%1.25I 80.00%NM 69.20%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.96%15.6%2026-03-07 11:09
Betclic (FR)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 13.67%1.25I 80.00%NM 68.35%4.75I 21.05%NM 17.99%17.1%2026-03-07 14:49