The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Sport v HIFK

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sport (Local)

Prediction 50.85%1.97fair odd
EV -0.843%
Edge -0.432%
Kelly -0.887%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%50.83%50.59%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.861.861.9555.56%53.72%53.62%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HIFK (Visit)

Prediction 49.15%2.03fair odd
EV -1.70%
Edge -0.850%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%49.17%49.41%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.931.932.0054.05%51.81%51.81%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sport (Local): 50.85%; HIFK (Visit): 49.15%. For Sport (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.95, with an expected value of -0.843%; they did not produce positive expected value.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -0.843%E -0.432%K -0.887%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -8.09%E -4.33%K -9.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-03 13:15
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -2.37%E -1.23%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.00%EV -5.63%E -2.93%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-03 13:18
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.39%E -1.78%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.61%E -3.48%K -7.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 13:20
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -3.89%E -2.06%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -5.14%E -2.66%K -5.53%G +0.000%4.7%2026-10-03 13:26
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.40%E -2.34%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.14%E -2.66%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 12:10
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.40%E -2.34%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.14%E -2.66%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 12:10
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.40%E -2.34%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.14%E -2.66%K -5.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-03 12:10
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.07%E -4.90%K -10.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-30 05:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.93%E -3.20%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.07%E -4.90%K -10.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-30 05:29
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.94%E -3.80%K -8.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -1.70%E -0.850%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-03 10:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.94%E -3.80%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.12%E -3.21%K -6.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-03 10:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.70%E -0.850%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 10:25
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.70%E -0.850%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 10:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.47%E -4.71%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.70%E -0.850%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-03 10:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-10-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-10-03 13:55
Smarkets◎1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%8.2%2026-10-03 12:20

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coolbet🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.58%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.18%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%3.1%2026-10-03 10:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%3.2%2026-10-03 12:11
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%3.2%2026-10-03 12:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 39.08%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.64%3.2%2026-10-03 12:11
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.79%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-10-03 13:30
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%7.0%2026-10-03 12:11
Unibet (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%7.0%2026-10-03 12:10
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%7.0%2026-10-03 12:11
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%7.0%2026-10-03 12:11
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.24%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%9.0%2026-10-03 10:30
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%10.1%2026-10-03 10:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.77%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.28%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.94%11.8%2026-10-03 10:25
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.27%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%11.8%2026-10-03 10:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.09%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.14%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%12.2%2026-10-03 12:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.17%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.96%12.8%2026-10-03 13:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 39.75%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.16%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.10%17.0%2026-10-03 10:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 38.78%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.06%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.17%19.9%2026-10-03 10:30