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SaiPa v KooKoo

Kickoff: 2026-09-19 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SaiPa (Local)

Prediction 40.23%2.49fair odd
EV -2.63%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.00%40.51%40.22%50.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.112.072.4254.05%47.49%48.31%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KooKoo (Visit)

Prediction 36.93%2.71fair odd
EV +23.72%
Edge +7.08%
Kelly +10.09%
Growth +2.39%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.71%36.79%36.92%37.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.872.883.3543.48%34.84%34.78%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 22.84%4.38fair odd
EV +2.76%
Edge +0.613%
Kelly +0.788%
Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.93%22.70%22.86%23.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.084.004.5025.97%24.49%25.00%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SaiPa (Local): 40.23%; KooKoo (Visit): 36.93%; Draw: 22.84%. For KooKoo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +23.72%.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.74%EV -17.92%E -8.79%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV +23.72%E +7.08%K +10.09%G +2.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%EV -4.09%E -0.974%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-18 15:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.74%EV -17.92%E -8.79%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV +23.72%E +7.08%K +10.09%G +2.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%EV -4.09%E -0.974%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-18 15:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.74%EV -17.92%E -8.79%K -17.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.07%EV +23.72%E +7.08%K +10.09%G +2.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.19%EV -4.09%E -0.974%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-18 15:30
1xBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.36%EV -24.76%E -13.24%K -28.46%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.71%EV +21.13%E +6.44%K +9.27%G +1.96%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV +2.76%E +0.613%K +0.788%G +0.022%6.2%2026-09-18 15:14
Grosvenor🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.78%EV -21.14%E -10.79%K -22.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV +20.03%E +6.16%K +8.90%G +1.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.66%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 15:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.78%EV -21.14%E -10.79%K -22.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV +20.03%E +6.16%K +8.90%G +1.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.66%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 15:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.78%EV -21.14%E -10.79%K -22.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV +20.03%E +6.16%K +8.90%G +1.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.66%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 15:30
Casumo🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.78%EV -21.14%E -10.79%K -22.02%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.81%EV +20.03%E +6.16%K +8.90%G +1.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -8.66%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-18 15:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.14%EV -25.57%E -13.82%K -30.08%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV +14.49%E +4.67%K +6.90%G +0.999%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.13%EV -12.08%E -3.14%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-18 15:30
Coolbet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.17%EV -2.63%E -1.09%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.68%EV -2.13%E -0.805%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.15%EV -4.09%E -0.974%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-18 13:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.30%EV -5.45%E -2.32%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.14%EV -5.83%E -2.28%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.55%EV -4.09%E -0.974%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-18 11:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%EV -11.49%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.15%EV -5.83%E -2.28%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -4.09%E -0.974%K -1.28%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 11:10
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08%EV -7.46%E -3.24%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87%EV -7.67%E -3.07%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05%EV -8.66%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-18 11:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.98%EV -15.51%E -7.39%K -14.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.98%EV -9.52%E -3.88%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.04%EV -8.66%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%13.4%2026-09-18 13:45
Betclic (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.10%EV -10.26%E -4.22%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.83%EV -9.80%E -2.48%K -3.32%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-18 11:08
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.47%E -4.21%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%EV -11.36%E -4.74%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.50%EV -8.66%E -2.16%K -2.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-18 11:04
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.76%EV -11.49%E -5.22%K -9.57%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -11.36%E -4.74%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.87%EV -6.38%E -1.56%K -2.06%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 11:04
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.22%EV -13.50%E -6.28%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.60%EV -15.06%E -6.55%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.17%EV -10.94%E -2.81%K -3.77%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-18 11:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%4.1%2026-09-18 13:00
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%4.1%2026-09-18 12:55
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%4.6%2026-09-18 11:04
Pinnacle🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%4.8%2026-09-18 15:20
Betsson🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%5.4%2026-09-18 07:00
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%5.6%2026-09-18 09:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%5.6%2026-09-18 09:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%5.6%2026-09-18 09:10
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%5.7%2026-09-18 15:30
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%5.7%2026-09-18 15:30
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%5.7%2026-09-18 15:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%6.8%2026-09-18 10:25
Smarkets◎1.79I 55.87%NM 51.62%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.38%8.2%2026-09-18 11:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%8.4%2026-09-18 10:25
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%8.4%2026-09-18 10:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%8.4%2026-09-18 10:25
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%8.4%2026-09-18 10:25