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SaiPa v KooKoo

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SaiPa (Local)

Prediction 50.30%1.99fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -0.986%
Kelly -2.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%50.50%50.26%53.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.871.871.9555.87%53.54%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KooKoo (Visit)

Prediction 49.70%2.01fair odd
EV +0.403%
Edge +0.199%
Kelly +0.395%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.02

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.98%49.50%49.74%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.911.912.0254.64%52.47%52.36%49.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SaiPa (Local): 50.30%; KooKoo (Visit): 49.70%. For KooKoo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.01. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.02, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.403%.

18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -9.47%E -5.26%K -11.83%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV +0.403%E +0.199%K +0.395%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-18 13:40
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -9.97%E -5.57%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV +0.403%E +0.199%K +0.395%G +0.002%5.4%2026-04-18 13:40
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -9.97%E -5.57%K -12.62%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV +0.403%E +0.199%K +0.395%G +0.002%5.4%2026-04-18 13:40
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -5.44%E -2.90%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.07%E -2.11%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 11:20
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.44%E -2.90%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.57%E -2.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 09:34
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.44%E -2.90%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.57%E -2.38%K -4.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 09:34
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.94%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.06%E -2.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 03:50
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.94%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.06%E -2.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 04:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.94%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.06%E -2.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 03:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.94%E -2.06%K -4.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.06%E -2.65%K -5.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 03:49
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.92%E -0.986%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.05%E -3.77%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 06:20
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.18%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.05%E -3.77%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 03:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.95%E -3.18%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.05%E -3.77%K -8.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 03:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -9.04%E -4.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 05:25
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -9.04%E -4.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 05:26
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -9.04%E -4.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 05:25
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -6.95%E -3.76%K -8.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -9.04%E -4.94%K -10.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-18 05:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%5.2%2026-04-18 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%5.2%2026-04-18 13:50
Smarkets◎1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%8.1%2026-04-18 03:50

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coolbet🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.04%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.95%2.8%2026-04-18 09:34
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.57%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.25%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18%3.2%2026-04-18 10:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.57%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.25%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18%3.2%2026-04-18 10:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.57%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.25%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18%3.2%2026-04-18 11:00
Casumo🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.48%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%6.4%2026-04-18 10:59
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.48%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%6.4%2026-04-18 11:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.48%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%6.4%2026-04-18 10:59
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.48%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.06%6.4%2026-04-18 11:00
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.42%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.98%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.60%6.6%2026-04-18 12:55
LeoVegas🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 39.56%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.30%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.14%9.0%2026-04-18 11:00
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%10.0%2026-04-18 03:50
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.08%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.76%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.17%10.4%2026-04-18 03:48
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.31%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.31%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.38%11.1%2026-04-18 04:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.12%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.55%11.6%2026-04-18 13:49
Everygame🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.12%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.33%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.55%11.6%2026-04-18 08:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.47%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.52%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.01%12.6%2026-04-18 10:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.15%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.34%3.58I 27.93%NM 24.51%14.0%2026-04-18 13:32
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.22%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.22%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.56%16.3%2026-04-18 04:15