The School of Odds
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SaiPa v KooKoo

Kickoff: 2026-04-24 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SaiPa (Local)

Prediction 52.37%1.91fair odd
EV +3.69%
Edge +1.86%
Kelly +3.77%
Growth +0.139%

assuming max odds 1.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.30%51.84%52.32%53.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.821.801.9856.18%55.00%55.56%50.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KooKoo (Visit)

Prediction 47.63%2.10fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -1.39%
Kelly -2.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.74%48.16%47.68%51.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.952.002.0454.05%51.19%50.00%49.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SaiPa (Local): 52.37%; KooKoo (Visit): 47.63%. For SaiPa (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.91. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.98, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.69%.

19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV +3.69%E +1.86%K +3.77%G +0.139%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -11.88%E -6.42%K -13.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-23 10:14
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.16%E -2.27%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.69%E -2.87%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-24 03:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.16%E -2.27%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.03%E -4.73%K -9.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 04:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.16%E -2.27%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -11.88%E -6.42%K -13.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 05:29
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.16%E -2.27%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -11.88%E -6.42%K -13.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 05:29
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.16%E -2.27%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -11.88%E -6.42%K -13.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 13:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -4.16%E -2.27%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -11.88%E -6.42%K -13.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-22 13:29
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.73%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.79%E -1.87%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 05:29
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -5.73%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.79%E -1.87%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 05:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.73%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:29
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.73%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:29
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.73%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.73%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.74%E -2.37%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:30
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.73%E -3.19%K -7.17%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.12%E -3.65%K -7.50%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 12:30
BetRivers🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -6.26%E -3.50%K -7.92%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -2.83%E -1.39%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 03:29
betPARX🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.78%E -3.81%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.79%E -1.87%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 03:29
Bally Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -6.78%E -3.81%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -3.79%E -1.87%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 03:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%8.2%2026-04-24 03:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 35.94%1.01I 99.01%NM 64.06%54.6%2026-04-23 19:14
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.80I 55.56%NM 35.94%1.01I 99.01%NM 64.06%54.6%2026-04-23 19:15

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coolbet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.45%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.66%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.88%3.0%2026-04-22 04:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.32%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.19%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50%3.3%2026-04-23 03:29
Svenska Spel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.32%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.19%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50%3.3%2026-04-23 03:29
ATG (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.32%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.19%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50%3.3%2026-04-23 03:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.12%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%6.5%2026-04-23 12:28
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 40.60%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.07%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%6.6%2026-04-24 03:49
Casumo🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.12%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%7.0%2026-04-23 03:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.12%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%7.0%2026-04-23 03:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.12%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%7.0%2026-04-23 03:29
Grosvenor🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.12%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.28%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%7.0%2026-04-23 03:29
LeoVegas🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.11%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.72%9.3%2026-04-23 03:29
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%10.1%2026-04-23 13:04
Everygame🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%11.1%2026-04-24 03:45
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.13%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.37%11.1%2026-04-23 12:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.81%3.68I 27.17%NM 24.30%11.8%2026-04-23 12:29
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.27%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%11.8%2026-04-23 04:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.14%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.33%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%13.2%2026-04-23 03:29
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.16%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.71%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.14%13.5%2026-04-24 03:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 39.47%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.84%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.68%20.6%2026-04-23 12:29