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SaiPa v KooKoo

Kickoff: 2026-02-21 15:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SaiPa (Local)

Prediction 37.35%2.68fair odd
EV +3.45%
Edge +1.25%
Kelly +1.95%
Growth +0.067%

assuming max odds 2.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.96%36.87%37.35%38.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.522.542.7744.44%39.62%39.37%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KooKoo (Visit)

Prediction 38.26%2.61fair odd
EV -5.13%
Edge -2.07%
Kelly -3.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.59%38.64%38.26%41.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.362.382.4845.45%42.45%42.02%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.40%4.10fair odd
EV +3.69%
Edge +0.869%
Kelly +1.14%
Growth +0.042%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.04%24.49%24.40%25.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.483.803.804.2528.74%26.30%26.32%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SaiPa (Local): 37.35%; KooKoo (Visit): 38.26%; Draw: 24.40%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.10. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.69%.

18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.96%EV +3.45%E +1.25%K +1.95%G +0.067%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.52%EV -8.57%E -3.59%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.52%EV -3.63%E -0.918%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-21 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.96%EV +0.835%E +0.309%K +0.491%G +0.004%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.15%EV -5.13%E -2.07%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 14:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.96%EV +0.835%E +0.309%K +0.491%G +0.004%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.15%EV -5.13%E -2.07%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 14:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.96%EV +0.835%E +0.309%K +0.491%G +0.004%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.15%EV -5.13%E -2.07%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.0%2026-02-21 10:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.75%EV -1.78%E -0.676%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -8.95%E -3.76%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 14:45
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.75%EV -1.78%E -0.676%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -8.95%E -3.76%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 14:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.75%EV -1.78%E -0.676%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -8.95%E -3.76%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 14:45
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.75%EV -1.78%E -0.676%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.51%EV -8.95%E -3.76%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.74%EV -7.29%E -1.92%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 14:45
LeoVegas🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.92%EV -4.77%E -1.87%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -10.87%E -4.66%K -8.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-21 14:45
1xBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.88%EV -5.14%E -2.02%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.08%EV -12.78%E -5.60%K -9.98%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV +3.69%E +0.869%K +1.14%G +0.042%6.8%2026-02-21 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.80%EV -6.63%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.57%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -2.41%E -0.601%K -0.802%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 12:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -6.63%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.59%EV -6.28%E -2.56%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -12.17%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 13:25
Everygame🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.44%EV -6.63%E -2.65%K -4.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.28%EV -15.84%E -7.20%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.28%EV -10.95%E -3.00%K -4.13%G +0.000%12.9%2026-02-21 14:20
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -10.37%E -4.32%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.88%EV -8.19%E -3.41%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-21 10:24
Paddy Power🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.27%EV -10.37%E -4.32%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -12.01%E -5.22%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.85%EV -8.51%E -2.27%K -3.09%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 12:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.11%EV -12.24%E -5.21%K -9.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.93%EV -12.01%E -5.22%K -9.24%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.96%EV -4.85%E -1.24%K -1.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-02-21 12:55
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.58%EV -14.10%E -6.13%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.41%EV -13.93%E -6.19%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.01%EV -12.17%E -3.38%K -4.68%G +0.000%15.7%2026-02-21 12:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 37.47%EV -14.85%E -6.51%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 37.97%EV -13.93%E -6.19%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 24.55%EV -15.09%E -4.34%K -6.09%G +0.000%17.0%2026-02-21 14:34
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.01%EV -15.97%E -7.10%K -12.78%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 38.87%EV -15.84%E -7.20%K -13.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.11%EV -9.73%E -2.63%K -3.60%G +0.000%16.9%2026-02-21 12:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%4.7%2026-02-21 10:25
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%4.7%2026-02-21 10:44
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%4.7%2026-02-21 10:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%4.7%2026-02-21 10:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%4.7%2026-02-21 10:25
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%4.7%2026-02-21 14:25
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.86%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.14%5.1%2026-02-21 14:55
Betsson🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%5.3%2026-02-21 14:05
BetRivers🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%5.7%2026-02-21 10:24
Bally Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%5.7%2026-02-21 10:25
betPARX🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%5.7%2026-02-21 10:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%7.0%2026-02-21 10:25
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%7.0%2026-02-21 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-02-20 15:01
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-02-20 15:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-02-20 15:05
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%7.9%2026-02-20 15:05
Smarkets◎1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%8.1%2026-02-21 14:55