Language:English
SaiPa v Ässät
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SaiPa (Local)
assuming max odds 1.40
Ässät (Visit)
assuming max odds 3.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SaiPa (Local): 70.57%; Ässät (Visit): 29.43%. For Ässät (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.40. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.96%.
19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -8.26%E -6.36%K -27.55%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV +5.96%E +1.66%K +2.29%G +0.137% | 4.7% | 2026-03-27 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.97%E -6.95%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +5.96%E +1.66%K +2.29%G +0.137% | 5.3% | 2026-03-27 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -8.97%E -6.95%K -30.93%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +5.96%E +1.66%K +2.29%G +0.137% | 5.3% | 2026-03-28 01:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +0.077%E +0.023%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 09:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +0.077%E +0.023%K +0.032%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-27 09:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.87%E -0.869%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.87%E -0.869%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 20:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.87%E -0.869%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 19:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.87%E -0.869%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.26%E -6.36%K -27.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -4.34%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-27 09:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.26%E -6.36%K -27.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -4.34%E -1.33%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-27 09:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.03%E -2.96%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-27 18:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.15%E -4.62%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -8.75%E -2.82%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-27 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.75%EV -5.44%E -4.06%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 30.25%EV -9.05%E -2.93%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-27 21:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.21%E -0.863%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -10.23%E -3.35%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-27 14:34 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72% | 8.5% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-03-28 01:40 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.22% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.47% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.31% | 3.1% | 2026-03-27 09:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91% | 3.7% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91% | 3.7% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.81% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.28% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.91% | 3.7% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.05% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.97% | 5.4% | 2026-03-27 23:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.97% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.21% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.82% | 6.2% | 2026-03-27 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.86% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68% | 7.1% | 2026-03-28 01:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.86% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68% | 7.1% | 2026-03-28 01:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.86% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68% | 7.1% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.86% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68% | 7.1% | 2026-03-28 01:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47% | 8.5% | 2026-03-27 23:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.61% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.40% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00% | 9.7% | 2026-03-28 01:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.39% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.99% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.62% | 10.8% | 2026-03-27 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00% | 11.1% | 2026-03-27 23:02 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.99% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47% | 11.3% | 2026-03-27 19:20 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83% | 14.3% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 58.33% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.83% | 14.3% | 2026-03-28 03:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 58.20% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 20.90% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 20.90% | 15.3% | 2026-03-27 23:04 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 58.34% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.58% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.08% | 15.8% | 2026-03-27 23:00 |