Language:English
Pelicans v Sport
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Pelicans (Local)
Prediction 76.68%1.30fair odd
EV -4.92%
Edge -3.97%
Kelly -20.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.27%76.65%76.68%78.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.201.201.2486.21%83.19%83.33%80.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sport (Visit)
Prediction 9.35%10.69fair odd
EV +12.24%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.11%
Growth +0.136%
assuming max odds 12.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.53%9.12%9.35%11.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.7510.3011.0012.0012.90%9.71%9.09%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 13.97%7.16fair odd
EV +4.75%
Edge +0.634%
Kelly +0.731%
Growth +0.035%
assuming max odds 7.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.52%14.23%13.97%17.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.106.666.857.5019.61%15.01%14.60%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pelicans (Local): 76.68%; Sport (Visit): 9.35%; Draw: 13.97%. For Sport (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.69. 10 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.24%.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.10%EV -4.92%E -3.97%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.07%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.83%EV -2.23%E -0.319%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-02-27 10:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.27%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.53%EV +12.24%E +1.02%K +1.11%G +0.136% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -26.67%E -5.08%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-02-27 15:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.68%EV -5.68%E -4.62%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.42%EV +7.57%E +0.658%K +0.721%G +0.055% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.90%EV +4.75%E +0.634%K +0.731%G +0.035% | 3.3% | 2026-02-27 16:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.68%EV -5.68%E -4.62%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.42%EV +7.57%E +0.658%K +0.721%G +0.055% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.90%EV +4.75%E +0.634%K +0.731%G +0.035% | 3.3% | 2026-02-27 16:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.68%EV -5.68%E -4.62%K -24.72%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.42%EV +7.57%E +0.658%K +0.721%G +0.055% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.90%EV +4.75%E +0.634%K +0.731%G +0.035% | 3.3% | 2026-02-27 16:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.94%EV -8.75%E -7.35%K -46.06%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +2.89%E +0.263%K +0.289%G +0.008% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +4.75%E +0.634%K +0.731%G +0.035% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 16:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.94%EV -8.75%E -7.35%K -46.06%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +2.89%E +0.263%K +0.289%G +0.008% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +4.75%E +0.634%K +0.731%G +0.035% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 16:14 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.94%EV -8.75%E -7.35%K -46.06%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +2.89%E +0.263%K +0.289%G +0.008% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +4.75%E +0.634%K +0.731%G +0.035% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 16:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.94%EV -8.75%E -7.35%K -46.06%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV +2.89%E +0.263%K +0.289%G +0.008% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.52%EV +4.75%E +0.634%K +0.731%G +0.035% | 6.5% | 2026-02-27 16:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 78.67%EV -11.05%E -9.53%K -69.08%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.30%EV +2.89%E +0.263%K +0.289%G +0.008% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -2.23%E -0.319%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-27 16:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.82%EV -4.92%E -3.97%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.07%EV -1.79%E -0.170%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.11%EV -5.72%E -0.848%K -0.995%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-27 12:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.26%EV -6.45%E -5.29%K -29.32%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.98%EV -1.79%E -0.170%K -0.188%G +0.000% | 6.85I 14.60%NM 13.76%EV -4.32%E -0.631%K -0.739%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-27 16:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.60%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.68%EV -11.14%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.72%EV -6.42%E -0.958%K -1.13%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-27 10:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.09%EV -6.45%E -5.29%K -29.32%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.64%EV -11.14%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -16.20%E -2.70%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 12:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 76.74%EV -10.29%E -8.79%K -60.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.45%EV -11.14%E -1.17%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 13.81%EV -9.21%E -1.42%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-02-27 12:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.56%EV -7.98%E -6.65%K -39.92%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.53%EV -20.49%E -2.41%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.91%EV -16.20%E -2.70%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-27 12:34 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 73.58%EV -9.52%E -8.07%K -52.88%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 10.34%EV -21.43%E -2.55%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.08%EV -24.58%E -4.55%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-02-27 12:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 73.42%EV -9.52%E -8.07%K -52.88%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 10.83%EV -25.17%E -3.15%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 15.75%EV -23.18%E -4.21%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-02-27 12:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 72.27%EV -9.52%E -8.07%K -52.88%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.00%EV -27.51%E -3.55%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 16.72%EV -28.77%E -5.64%K -7.02%G +0.000% | 17.3% | 2026-02-27 16:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.17% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83% | 3.1% | 2026-02-27 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.17% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83% | 3.1% | 2026-02-27 16:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36% | 4.0% | 2026-02-27 15:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81% | 4.0% | 2026-02-27 12:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20% | 5.3% | 2026-02-27 11:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20% | 5.3% | 2026-02-27 11:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59% | 5.5% | 2026-02-27 16:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59% | 5.5% | 2026-02-27 16:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59% | 5.5% | 2026-02-27 16:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73% | 6.0% | 2026-02-27 12:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73% | 6.0% | 2026-02-27 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73% | 6.0% | 2026-02-27 12:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73% | 6.0% | 2026-02-27 12:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73% | 6.0% | 2026-02-27 12:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 12:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04% | 6.7% | 2026-02-27 16:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61% | 6.8% | 2026-02-27 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 11:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 10:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 11:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49% | 7.6% | 2026-02-27 10:45 |