The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Pelicans v SaiPa

Kickoff: 2026-10-28 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pelicans (Local)

Prediction 55.32%1.81fair odd
EV -3.19%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -4.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.69%55.40%55.18%56.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.701.711.7560.61%58.74%58.65%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SaiPa (Visit)

Prediction 44.68%2.24fair odd
EV -2.15%
Edge -0.980%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.42%44.60%44.82%45.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.142.152.1947.62%46.81%46.62%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pelicans (Local): 55.32%; SaiPa (Visit): 44.68%. For SaiPa (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.24. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.19, with an expected value of -2.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.19%E -1.82%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -5.27%E -2.49%K -4.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-28 16:10
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.75%E -2.15%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.38%E -2.05%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-28 12:45
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -3.75%E -2.15%K -5.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -6.17%E -2.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-28 12:09
BetRivers🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.30%E -2.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.27%E -2.49%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 16:05
Bally Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.30%E -2.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.27%E -2.49%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 16:05
betPARX🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.30%E -2.49%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.27%E -2.49%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-28 16:05
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.85%E -2.82%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.27%E -2.49%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-28 16:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.41%E -3.16%K -7.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.17%E -2.94%K -5.61%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-28 12:10
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-28 12:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-28 12:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.96%E -3.51%K -8.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-28 12:10
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.44%EV -6.51%E -3.85%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.56%EV -2.15%E -0.980%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-28 15:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.73%E -5.29%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 12:44
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.73%E -5.29%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 12:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.73%E -5.29%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 12:44
Neds🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.73%E -5.29%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.93%E -1.83%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-28 12:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%6.1%2026-10-28 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%6.1%2026-10-28 16:25
Smarkets◎1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%8.2%2026-10-28 12:10

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coolbet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.39%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.00%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.61%2.8%2026-10-28 12:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.80%3.4%2026-10-28 16:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.80%3.4%2026-10-28 16:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.78%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.80%3.4%2026-10-28 16:05
Unibet (UK)🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.59%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.17%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.24%5.8%2026-10-28 12:10
1xBet🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.57%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%6.3%2026-10-28 16:15
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%7.2%2026-10-28 16:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%7.2%2026-10-28 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.40%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%7.2%2026-10-28 16:05
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.90%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.52%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.58%8.5%2026-10-28 12:09
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.43%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%8.5%2026-10-28 12:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.91%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.38%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.71%11.0%2026-10-28 12:10
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.38%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.67%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%11.3%2026-10-28 16:05
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.61%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.54%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.85%11.8%2026-10-28 12:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 42.79%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.17%3.47I 28.82%NM 25.03%15.1%2026-10-28 16:08
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 42.74%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.52%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.74%17.0%2026-10-28 12:09
Unibet (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 41.77%2.45I 40.82%NM 33.42%3.30I 30.30%NM 24.81%22.1%2026-10-28 16:19