The School of Odds
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Pelicans v SaiPa

2026-10-28 16:30 UTC — Liiga

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pelicans (Local)

Prediction 51.63%1.94fair odd
EV -3.44%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -3.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.07%51.63%51.59%52.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.841.831.8755.56%54.47%54.64%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SaiPa (Visit)

Prediction 48.37%2.07fair odd
EV -4.72%
Edge -2.40%
Kelly -4.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.00%48.37%48.41%48.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.951.951.9752.36%51.39%51.28%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pelicans (Local): 51.63%; SaiPa (Visit): 48.37%. For Pelicans (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.94. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.87, with an expected value of -3.44%; they do not produce positive expected value.

7 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -3.44%E -1.84%K -3.96%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.70%EV -4.72%E -2.40%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-25 18:54
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.48%E -2.42%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 18:55
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-25 18:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.51%E -3.01%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.62%E -3.99%K -8.38%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-25 19:06
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.06%E -3.92%K -8.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.69%E -2.92%K -5.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-25 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.76I 56.82%NM 51.52%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.48%10.3%2026-10-25 19:06
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-25 18:42
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-25 18:42

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (7)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.13%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%6.4%2026-10-25 19:05
1xBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.40%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.92%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.68%6.6%2026-10-25 19:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 38.87%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.07%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%10.9%2026-10-25 19:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.18%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.78%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.03%11.0%2026-10-25 19:05
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.08%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.95%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%11.3%2026-10-25 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 38.71%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.24%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%17.4%2026-10-25 19:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 38.95%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.41%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.63%19.4%2026-10-25 19:05