The School of Odds
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Pelicans v KooKoo

Kickoff: 2026-04-04 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pelicans (Local)

Prediction 43.88%2.28fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.561%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.31%43.76%43.81%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.172.162.2547.62%46.17%46.30%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KooKoo (Visit)

Prediction 56.12%1.78fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -3.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%56.24%56.19%57.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.691.681.7460.61%59.32%59.52%57.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pelicans (Local): 43.88%; KooKoo (Visit): 56.12%. For Pelicans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.25, with an expected value of -1.26%; they did not produce positive expected value.

19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -1.26%E -0.561%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -7.41%E -4.49%K -11.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 09:30
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.46%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.04%E -2.36%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-04 09:40
NordicBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.33%E -1.99%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.48%E -2.02%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 09:14
Betsson🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -4.33%E -1.99%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -3.48%E -2.02%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-04 09:15
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -4.33%E -1.99%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -4.60%E -2.71%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-04 10:00
Bally Bet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.77%E -2.20%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.72%E -3.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 10:00
betPARX🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -4.77%E -2.20%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -5.72%E -3.41%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 10:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.29%E -3.76%K -9.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-03 04:59
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.41%E -4.49%K -11.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 08:00
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.41%E -4.49%K -11.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 08:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.41%E -4.49%K -11.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 08:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.41%E -4.49%K -11.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-03 08:00
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -6.09%E -2.85%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -2.36%E -1.35%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-04 04:15
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -7.84%E -3.74%K -7.13%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.92%E -1.69%K -4.00%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-03 07:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%8.2%2026-04-04 02:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 41.94%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.06%10.4%2026-04-04 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 41.94%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.06%10.4%2026-04-04 13:35

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coolbet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.33%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.42%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%3.0%2026-04-03 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.87%3.4%2026-04-04 10:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.87%3.4%2026-04-04 09:44
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.71%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.42%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.87%3.4%2026-04-04 09:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.79%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.75%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.46%4.8%2026-04-03 05:00
1xBet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 30.96%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.60%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.44%6.3%2026-04-04 13:44
Unibet (NL)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%6.8%2026-04-04 10:00
Grosvenor🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%6.8%2026-04-04 10:00
Unibet (SE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%6.8%2026-04-04 10:00
Casumo🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.70%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.75%6.8%2026-04-04 10:00
Betway🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.54%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.38%9.4%2026-04-03 10:00
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.93%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.24%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.83%9.6%2026-04-04 10:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.02%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.75%10.8%2026-04-03 05:30
Everygame🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.47%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.85%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.68%11.3%2026-04-04 08:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%12.4%2026-04-04 09:45
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%12.5%2026-04-03 05:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.75%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.66%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.59%14.5%2026-04-04 02:09
Betclic (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 31.67%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.18%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.15%17.0%2026-04-04 13:31
Winamax (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 32.18%1.92I 52.08%NM 43.57%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.25%19.5%2026-04-03 05:30