The School of Odds
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Pelicans v JYP

Kickoff: 2026-03-21 17:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pelicans (Local)

Prediction 50.36%1.99fair odd
EV +3.23%
Edge +1.58%
Kelly +3.08%
Growth +0.100%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.75%49.87%50.26%51.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.881.892.0555.56%53.21%52.91%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

JYP (Visit)

Prediction 49.64%2.01fair odd
EV -2.70%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.96

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.52%50.13%49.74%53.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.911.911.9655.56%52.34%52.36%51.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pelicans (Local): 50.36%; JYP (Visit): 49.64%. For Pelicans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.99. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.23%.

18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV +3.23%E +1.58%K +3.08%G +0.100%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -10.64%E -5.91%K -13.31%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-21 16:20
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 07:30
BetRivers🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 13:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 07:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 07:54
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.82%E -2.00%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 07:54
Betsson🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.82%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.70%E -1.38%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 10:25
NordicBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.82%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -2.70%E -1.38%K -2.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-21 10:25
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.82%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.19%E -2.17%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-21 15:19
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.27%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 13:00
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.82%E -2.55%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.18%E -3.27%K -6.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-21 13:00
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.83%E -3.12%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.20%E -1.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-20 22:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.84%E -4.29%K -9.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-20 22:44
Neds🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.36%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 08:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.36%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 08:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.36%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 08:20
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.36%E -5.20%K -11.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.18%E -2.71%K -5.70%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-21 08:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%5.3%2026-03-21 17:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%5.3%2026-03-21 17:24
Smarkets◎1.86I 53.76%NM 50.40%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.60%6.7%2026-03-21 17:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coolbet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.47%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.94%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.59%3.0%2026-03-21 10:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.84%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.00%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.17%3.2%2026-03-21 13:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.84%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.00%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.17%3.2%2026-03-21 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.84%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.00%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.17%3.2%2026-03-21 12:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.15%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.40%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.45%4.9%2026-03-21 10:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.97%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%6.2%2026-03-21 13:00
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.97%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%6.2%2026-03-21 13:00
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.97%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%6.2%2026-03-21 13:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.97%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%6.2%2026-03-21 13:00
1xBet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.09%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.66%6.7%2026-03-21 17:24
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%8.3%2026-03-21 01:35
LeoVegas🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.04%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.80%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.16%8.9%2026-03-21 13:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.70%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.81%10.5%2026-03-21 07:29
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%11.5%2026-03-21 07:29
Everygame🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.73%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.79%14.2%2026-03-21 17:22
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.94%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.13%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.93%14.6%2026-03-21 17:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.41%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.58%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.01%15.7%2026-03-21 07:29
Betclic (FR)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 38.24%2.28I 43.86%NM 37.40%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.36%17.3%2026-03-21 17:08