The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Pelicans v Ilves

Kickoff: 2026-02-25 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pelicans (Local)

Prediction 36.96%2.71fair odd
EV -0.210%
Edge -0.078%
Kelly -0.123%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.94%36.75%36.97%39.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.522.552.7043.48%39.73%39.22%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ilves (Visit)

Prediction 63.04%1.59fair odd
EV -2.92%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -5.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.05%63.25%63.03%65.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.511.521.5468.97%66.25%65.57%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pelicans (Local): 36.96%; Ilves (Visit): 63.04%. For Pelicans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.71. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -0.210%; they did not produce positive expected value.

19 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.210%E -0.078%K -0.123%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.59%E -5.92%K -19.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 16:25
Bally Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.210%E -0.078%K -0.123%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.59%E -5.92%K -19.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 16:24
betPARX🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -0.210%E -0.078%K -0.123%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -8.59%E -5.92%K -19.09%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-25 16:25
Pinnacle🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%EV -3.17%E -1.21%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%EV -6.07%E -4.07%K -12.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 16:05
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.91%E -1.50%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.44%E -3.63%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 16:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.91%E -1.50%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.44%E -3.63%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.91%E -1.50%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.44%E -3.63%K -10.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 16:25
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -5.75%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.92%E -1.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-25 16:25
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.75%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.18%E -2.75%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 16:10
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -5.75%E -2.26%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.18%E -2.75%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-25 16:10
DraftKings🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -6.12%E -2.41%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -2.92%E -1.89%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-25 16:10
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -7.60%E -3.04%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.55%E -2.32%K -6.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-25 14:40
Bovada🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.45%E -3.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.55%E -2.32%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 16:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -9.45%E -3.86%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -3.55%E -2.32%K -6.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 14:09
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -14.99%E -6.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -3.55%E -2.32%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-24 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -14.99%E -6.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -3.55%E -2.32%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-24 12:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -14.99%E -6.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -3.55%E -2.32%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-24 12:30
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -14.99%E -6.52%K -11.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -3.55%E -2.32%K -6.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-24 12:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%8.3%2026-02-25 16:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (19)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%2.8%2026-02-25 16:25
ATG (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%2.8%2026-02-25 16:24
Svenska Spel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.56%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%2.8%2026-02-25 16:25
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.24%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.84%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.92%2.9%2026-02-25 10:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.65%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.85%4.2%2026-02-25 16:25
1xBet🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 25.97%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.37%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.65%6.4%2026-02-25 16:24
Unibet (NL)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%6.5%2026-02-25 16:25
Casumo🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%6.5%2026-02-25 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%6.5%2026-02-25 16:24
Grosvenor🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.77%6.5%2026-02-25 16:24
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.98%8.8%2026-02-25 16:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%8.9%2026-02-25 14:14
LeoVegas🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.74%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.22%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.05%9.4%2026-02-25 16:24
Everygame🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.53%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%10.9%2026-02-25 10:14
Winamax (DE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%11.3%2026-02-25 16:25
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.35%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%11.6%2026-02-25 16:25
Parions Sport (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.38%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.00%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.63%16.0%2026-02-25 16:24
Winamax (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.80%1.74I 57.47%NM 49.52%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.68%16.0%2026-02-25 16:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.57%1.78I 56.18%NM 48.01%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.42%17.0%2026-02-25 16:13