The School of Odds
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Pelicans v HIFK

Kickoff: 2026-09-26 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pelicans (Local)

Prediction 66.17%1.51fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.943%
Kelly -2.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.52%66.25%65.88%67.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.431.401.4971.43%70.07%71.43%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HIFK (Visit)

Prediction 33.83%2.96fair odd
EV -0.204%
Edge -0.069%
Kelly -0.105%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.18%33.75%34.12%35.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.792.752.9537.04%35.86%36.36%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Pelicans (Local): 66.17%; HIFK (Visit): 33.83%. For HIFK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.95, with an expected value of -0.204%; they did not produce positive expected value.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.52%EV -1.41%E -0.943%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.48%EV -8.32%E -3.07%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-26 13:55
theScore Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -2.07%E -1.40%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-26 13:54
DraftKings🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -3.39%E -2.32%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-26 13:55
BetRivers🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.05%E -2.79%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 12:55
betPARX🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.05%E -2.79%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 12:54
Bally Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.05%E -2.79%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 12:55
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.71%E -3.27%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.28%E -1.89%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-26 13:54
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.71%E -3.27%K -10.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.66%E -3.21%K -5.09%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-26 13:55
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -7.36%E -5.26%K -18.40%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -0.204%E -0.069%K -0.105%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-26 13:35
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.36%E -5.26%K -18.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.90%E -0.654%K -0.998%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.36%E -5.26%K -18.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.90%E -0.654%K -0.998%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.36%E -5.26%K -18.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.90%E -0.654%K -0.998%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-26 13:25
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.36%E -5.26%K -18.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-26 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.36%E -5.26%K -18.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-26 12:00
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.36%E -5.26%K -18.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-26 12:00
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.36%E -5.26%K -18.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-26 12:01
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.36%E -5.26%K -18.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.97%E -2.53%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-26 12:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.42I 70.42%NM 65.02%2.64I 37.88%NM 34.98%8.3%2026-09-26 13:55

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coolbet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.10%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.68%3.0%2026-09-26 04:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81%3.2%2026-09-26 12:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81%3.2%2026-09-26 12:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.81%3.2%2026-09-26 12:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%6.0%2026-09-26 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%6.2%2026-09-26 12:55
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%6.2%2026-09-26 12:55
Casumo🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%6.2%2026-09-26 12:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.89%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.14%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%6.2%2026-09-26 12:55
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.97%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.66%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.37%6.3%2026-09-26 13:32
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.81%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.54%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%8.7%2026-09-26 13:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.61%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%9.0%2026-09-26 13:30
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.50%10.7%2026-09-26 13:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.09%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.85%12.2%2026-09-26 12:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.66%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.93%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.41%12.9%2026-09-26 13:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 53.20%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.82%16.0%2026-09-26 13:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 52.43%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.77%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.79%17.0%2026-09-26 13:55