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Pelicans v Ässät

2026-11-13 17:30 UTC — Liiga

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pelicans (Local)

Prediction 51.06%1.96fair odd
EV -2.48%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%50.80%51.06%51.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.861.851.9155.56%53.79%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ässät (Visit)

Prediction 48.94%2.04fair odd
EV -5.54%
Edge -2.87%
Kelly -5.96%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.52%49.20%48.94%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.911.921.911.9352.36%52.14%52.36%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pelicans (Local): 51.06%; Ässät (Visit): 48.94%. For Pelicans (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.91, with an expected value of -2.48%; they do not produce positive expected value.

12 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.48%E -1.30%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.52%E -3.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-11 19:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.48%E -1.30%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.52%E -3.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-11 19:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.48%E -1.30%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.52%E -3.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-11 19:20
Pinnacle🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.54%E -3.00%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.54%E -2.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-11 20:20
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.54%E -3.00%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.54%E -2.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-11 21:45
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.54%E -3.00%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.54%E -2.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-11 21:45
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.54%E -3.00%K -6.52%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.54%E -2.87%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-11 21:45
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.56%E -3.59%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.52%E -3.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-11 19:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.56%E -3.59%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.52%E -3.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-11 19:45
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.10%E -4.50%K -10.12%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.52%E -3.41%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-11 19:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.79I 55.87%NM 50.69%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.31%10.2%2026-11-11 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-11-12 01:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-11-12 01:30

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (12)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.97%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.48%3.3%2026-11-11 21:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.97%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.48%3.3%2026-11-11 21:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.97%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.54%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.48%3.3%2026-11-11 21:44
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%6.3%2026-11-11 21:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%6.3%2026-11-11 21:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.38%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%6.3%2026-11-11 19:24
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.06%2.54I 39.37%NM 36.91%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%6.7%2026-11-11 21:50
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.32%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.31%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.37%11.0%2026-11-11 21:44
Betclic (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.83%2.46I 40.65%NM 36.60%3.52I 28.41%NM 25.58%11.1%2026-11-11 19:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.25%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.45%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.29%11.2%2026-11-11 19:19
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 38.64%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.92%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.43%20.4%2026-11-11 19:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 37.67%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.83%3.25I 30.77%NM 25.50%20.7%2026-11-11 19:19

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