La scuola delle quoteQuote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.28
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.22
19 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (3 esiti rispetto al formato 2 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.72%EV -7.99%E -6.60%K -38.06%G +0.000% | 4.22I 23.70%NM 22.28%EV +1.11%E +0.264%K +0.345%G +0.004% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 13:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.19%E -3.33%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 10:15 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 10:45 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 11:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 10:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -4.16%E -1.04%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 10:55 |
| betPARX | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.36%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 10:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.36%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 10:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.36%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 10:55 |
| Betsson | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.36%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 11:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.36%E -1.36%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-28 11:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.67%E -2.09%K -9.53%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-28 10:56 |
| Bovada | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.71%E -4.61%K -23.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.95%E -2.36%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-28 10:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -3.43%E -2.70%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -16.14%E -4.61%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 10:54 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -16.14%E -4.61%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 07:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -16.14%E -4.61%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 07:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -16.14%E -4.61%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 07:49 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -4.95%E -3.96%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -16.14%E -4.61%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-28 07:49 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.9% | 2026-02-28 14:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77% | 7.8% | 2026-02-28 14:45 |
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Opzione 3 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.48% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.14% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.38% | 3.2% | 2026-02-28 10:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.09% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.80% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 10:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.09% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.80% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 10:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.09% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.10% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.80% | 3.5% | 2026-02-28 10:55 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.00% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.62% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.38% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 10:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.27% | 6.02I 16.61%NM 15.63% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 13:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.69% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 10:45 |
| Casumo | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.69% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 10:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.69% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 10:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.69% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.21% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.10% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 10:45 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.90% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.73% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.37% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 10:44 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.10% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.35% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 11:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.19% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.89% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 16.92% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 10:45 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.63% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.48% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.90% | 10.5% | 2026-02-28 13:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.93% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.67% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.40% | 10.9% | 2026-02-28 10:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55% | 13.7% | 2026-02-28 10:42 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 62.92% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.34% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.74% | 16.0% | 2026-02-28 10:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.38I 72.46%NM 62.43% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 17.76% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 19.81% | 16.1% | 2026-02-28 14:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.37I 72.99%NM 62.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 17.79% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 19.86% | 17.1% | 2026-02-28 14:34 |