預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Lukko v Kiekko-Espoo

開賽時間: 2026-03-11 16:30 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

18 家博彩公司 (6 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Lukko (主隊)

預測 68.33%1.46公平賠率
EV -2.29%
優勢 -1.60%
Kelly -5.32%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.43

博彩公司預測分布
66.97%68.30%68.33%69.51%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.351.381.381.4374.07%72.49%72.46%69.93%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Kiekko-Espoo (客隊)

預測 31.67%3.16公平賠率
EV -1.82%
優勢 -0.587%
Kelly -0.867%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.10

博彩公司預測分布
30.49%31.70%31.67%33.03%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.852.962.923.1035.09%33.76%34.19%32.26%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Lukko (主隊):68.33%;Kiekko-Espoo (客隊):31.67%。 對於「Kiekko-Espoo (客隊)」,該估計相當於3.16的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為3.10,期望值為-1.82%,未產生正期望值。

有 18 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(3 個賽果,而分析採用 2 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (18 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -2.29%E -1.60%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-11 07:35
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.97%E -2.09%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.99%E -1.66%K -2.49%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-11 15:15
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 11:05
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.57%E -2.23%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 11:05
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 01:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.34%E -3.10%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 01:50
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.71%E -4.13%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.40%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 11:35
Bally Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.71%E -4.13%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.40%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 12:25
betPARX🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.71%E -4.13%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -3.40%E -1.12%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 12:25
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.71%E -4.13%K -15.02%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -3.72%E -1.22%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-11 15:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.71%E -4.13%K -15.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.74%E -3.42%K -5.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-11 15:15
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.82%E -0.587%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 16:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -1.82%E -0.587%K -0.867%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 16:25
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -7.07%E -5.20%K -19.65%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -8.79%E -3.05%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-11 01:50
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.76%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.76%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 17:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.76%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 17:45
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.76%E -5.74%K -22.16%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.15%E -2.81%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-10 17:50
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-03-11 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-03-11 16:25
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%8.2%2026-03-11 15:15

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (18)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2選項 3利潤率 ▲更新時間
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%3.0%2026-03-11 11:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%3.0%2026-03-11 12:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.11%3.0%2026-03-11 12:25
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.66%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.06%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.27%3.2%2026-03-11 11:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.27%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.74%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.99%4.5%2026-03-11 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%5.8%2026-03-11 11:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%5.8%2026-03-11 12:01
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%5.8%2026-03-11 11:35
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%5.8%2026-03-11 12:00
1xBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.05%4.09I 24.45%NM 23.02%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%6.2%2026-03-11 16:20
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%6.9%2026-03-11 15:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.61%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%8.5%2026-03-11 15:20
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.08%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.96%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.96%9.7%2026-03-11 11:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%10.5%2026-03-11 15:15
Everygame🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.52%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.06%11.2%2026-03-11 16:24
Parions Sport (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 54.92%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.54%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.54%15.2%2026-03-11 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.22%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.97%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.81%16.1%2026-03-11 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 54.53%3.78I 26.46%NM 22.65%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.83%16.8%2026-03-11 16:06