預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Lukko v JYP

開賽時間: 2026-09-09 15:30 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

17 家博彩公司 (5 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Lukko (主隊)

預測 45.02%2.22公平賠率
EV -2.30%
優勢 -1.06%
Kelly -1.96%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.17

博彩公司預測分布
44.60%45.23%44.98%47.47%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.922.042.062.1752.08%49.08%48.54%46.08%最小值平均值中位數最大值

JYP (客隊)

預測 31.82%3.14公平賠率
EV +0.243%
優勢 +0.077%
Kelly +0.113%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.15

博彩公司預測分布
30.73%31.64%31.97%32.59%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.652.973.053.1537.74%33.71%32.79%31.75%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 23.15%4.32公平賠率
EV +0.249%
優勢 +0.058%
Kelly +0.075%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.33

博彩公司預測分布
21.71%23.13%23.05%23.87%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.704.014.004.3327.03%24.93%25.00%23.09%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Lukko (主隊):45.02%;JYP (客隊):31.82%;和局:23.15%。 對於「和局」,該估計相當於4.32的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為4.33,對應+0.249%的正期望值。

有 18 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(2 個賽果,而分析採用 3 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (17 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.66%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%EV +0.243%E +0.077%K +0.113%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.61%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-09 14:35
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.66%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%EV +0.243%E +0.077%K +0.113%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.61%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-09 14:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.66%EV -4.55%E -2.15%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.73%EV +0.243%E +0.077%K +0.113%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.61%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-09 14:35
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.76%EV -2.30%E -1.06%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.84%EV -2.94%E -0.964%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.40%EV -3.92%E -0.944%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-09 13:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -7.25%E -3.52%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -2.94%E -0.964%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 14:35
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -7.25%E -3.52%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -2.94%E -0.964%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 14:35
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -7.25%E -3.52%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -2.94%E -0.964%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 14:36
Grosvenor🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -7.25%E -3.52%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.83%EV -2.94%E -0.964%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 14:36
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.47%EV -10.85%E -5.48%K -11.07%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -2.94%E -0.964%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.71%EV +0.249%E +0.058%K +0.075%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 15:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.79%EV -11.30%E -5.74%K -11.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.73%EV -4.53%E -1.51%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.48%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-09 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -6.35%E -3.05%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.12%E -2.08%K -3.14%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -5.08%E -1.24%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-09 13:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.78%EV -12.65%E -6.52%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.84%EV -8.35%E -2.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.37%EV -12.02%E -3.16%K -4.29%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 14:35
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81%EV -7.70%E -3.76%K -7.33%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -9.30%E -3.26%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 13:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.41%EV -10.85%E -5.48%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.11%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -7.39%E -1.85%K -2.46%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-09 13:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 44.60%EV -10.85%E -5.48%K -11.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.54%EV -10.90%E -3.89%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.87%EV -14.34%E -3.87%K -5.31%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 15:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 44.88%EV -11.30%E -5.74%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.15%EV -12.49%E -4.54%K -7.14%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.97%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-09 15:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 44.98%EV -13.55%E -7.06%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.59%EV -15.67%E -5.91%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.43%EV -10.86%E -2.82%K -3.81%G +0.000%15.8%2026-09-09 13:20
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (18)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2利潤率 ▲更新時間
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%3.6%2026-09-09 13:21
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%4.0%2026-09-09 13:39
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%4.1%2026-09-09 15:25
Pinnacle🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%4.8%2026-09-09 13:30
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%5.1%2026-09-09 12:45
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%5.3%2026-09-09 11:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%5.3%2026-09-09 11:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%5.3%2026-09-09 11:39
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%5.4%2026-09-09 13:14
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%5.4%2026-09-09 13:14
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%5.4%2026-09-09 13:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%6.1%2026-09-09 13:20
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%7.2%2026-09-09 13:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%8.0%2026-09-09 11:45
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%8.0%2026-09-09 11:45
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%8.0%2026-09-09 11:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%8.0%2026-09-09 11:45
Smarkets◎1.62I 61.73%NM 56.91%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.09%8.5%2026-09-09 13:20