預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Lukko v Jokerit

開賽時間: 2026-09-05 14:00 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

18 家博彩公司 (5 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Lukko (主隊)

預測 46.91%2.13公平賠率
EV -2.43%
優勢 -1.17%
Kelly -2.25%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.08

博彩公司預測分布
46.31%46.99%46.93%47.55%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.801.982.012.0855.56%50.48%49.63%48.08%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Jokerit (客隊)

預測 30.54%3.27公平賠率
EV -0.743%
優勢 -0.229%
Kelly -0.330%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.25

博彩公司預測分布
29.76%30.48%30.58%31.46%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.653.053.063.2537.74%32.77%32.63%30.77%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 22.55%4.43公平賠率
EV -4.16%
優勢 -0.979%
Kelly -1.28%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 4.25

博彩公司預測分布
21.85%22.53%22.50%23.63%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.754.044.004.2526.67%24.76%25.00%23.53%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Lukko (主隊):46.91%;Jokerit (客隊):30.54%;和局:22.55%。 對於「Jokerit (客隊)」,該估計相當於3.27的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為3.25,期望值為-0.743%,未產生正期望值。

有 16 家博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同(2 個賽果,而分析採用 3 個賽果)。由於存在這項差異,解讀分析結果時應審慎。

博彩公司賠率 (18 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊和局利潤率更新時間
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.57%EV -2.43%E -1.17%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -0.743%E -0.229%K -0.330%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-03 17:44
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.57%EV -2.43%E -1.17%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -0.743%E -0.229%K -0.330%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-03 17:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.57%EV -2.43%E -1.17%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.80%EV -0.743%E -0.229%K -0.330%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-03 17:45
Coolbet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.95%EV -2.90%E -1.40%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.91%EV -0.743%E -0.229%K -0.330%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.14%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-02 05:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.02%EV -5.24%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.64%EV -5.32%E -1.72%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.35%EV -4.16%E -0.979%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-02 05:24
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.24%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -3.80%E -1.21%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 17:44
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.24%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -3.80%E -1.21%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 17:45
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.24%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -3.80%E -1.21%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 17:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -5.24%E -2.60%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -3.80%E -1.21%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-03 17:45
1xBet🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 46.81%EV -5.71%E -2.84%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.05%EV -7.46%E -2.46%K -3.68%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.14%EV -4.16%E -0.979%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 14:29
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -8.53%E -4.37%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-04 12:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -9.47%E -4.90%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%EV -5.29%E -1.26%K -1.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 20:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.65%EV -9.47%E -4.90%K -10.18%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.84%EV -10.82%E -3.71%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.51%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%11.1%2026-09-02 05:24
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 46.94%EV -9.93%E -5.17%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.08%EV -11.43%E -3.94%K -6.02%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -7.54%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-02 05:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -10.40%E -5.45%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -8.38%E -2.79%K -4.19%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -14.31%E -3.77%K -5.11%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-03 17:45
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.71%EV -10.40%E -5.45%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.98%EV -12.04%E -4.18%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.31%EV -9.80%E -2.45%K -3.27%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-02 05:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.42%EV -11.34%E -6.00%K -12.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.79%EV -12.96%E -4.55%K -7.00%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 22.79%EV -13.18%E -3.42%K -4.62%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-02 05:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 46.31%EV -15.56%E -8.65%K -19.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 31.46%EV -19.07%E -7.20%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.23%EV -15.44%E -4.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%20.0%2026-09-02 05:25
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

其他博彩公司 — 未納入分析 (16)

這些博彩公司為此市場提供的選項數量不同,因此未納入分析。其賠率僅供參考——相關投注的結算規則可能不同,因而帶來額外不確定性。

博彩公司選項 1選項 2利潤率 ▲更新時間
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%4.1%2026-09-03 18:00
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%4.3%2026-09-02 14:30
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%5.2%2026-09-03 18:05
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%5.2%2026-09-03 18:05
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%5.2%2026-09-03 18:00
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%5.6%2026-09-03 14:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%5.6%2026-09-03 14:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%5.6%2026-09-03 14:04
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%6.2%2026-09-02 05:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%6.2%2026-09-02 05:45
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%6.2%2026-09-03 18:00
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%8.0%2026-09-02 11:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%8.0%2026-09-02 11:34
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%8.0%2026-09-02 11:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%8.0%2026-09-02 11:34
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 58.06%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.94%10.4%2026-09-02 14:05