The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

KooKoo v Tappara

Kickoff: 2026-05-11 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KooKoo (Local)

Prediction 50.10%2.00fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -3.56%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.34%50.04%50.00%51.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.881.891.9354.64%53.19%52.91%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tappara (Visit)

Prediction 49.90%2.00fair odd
EV -3.69%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -3.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.93%49.96%50.00%50.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.901.911.9354.64%52.57%52.36%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KooKoo (Local): 50.10%; Tappara (Visit): 49.90%. For KooKoo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.00. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.93, with an expected value of -3.31%; they did not produce positive expected value.

18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -3.31%E -1.72%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -6.19%E -3.29%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 13:25
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 07:59
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 07:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 07:14
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 11:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.31%E -2.26%K -4.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 07:15
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.81%E -2.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.19%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 11:49
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.81%E -2.53%K -5.35%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.19%E -2.73%K -5.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 11:49
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -5.31%E -2.81%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -3.69%E -1.91%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 08:14
BetRivers🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.31%E -2.81%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.19%E -2.18%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 17:59
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 17:59
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -5.81%E -3.09%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 17:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.32%E -3.38%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.68%E -3.57%K -7.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 07:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.32%E -4.55%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 08:15
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.32%E -4.55%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 08:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.32%E -4.55%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 08:14
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.32%E -4.55%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.69%E -2.45%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-11 08:15
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.32%E -4.55%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.68%E -4.74%K -10.46%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-11 07:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%6.4%2026-05-11 13:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.86I 53.76%NM 50.40%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.60%6.7%2026-05-11 13:25
Smarkets◎1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%8.7%2026-05-11 12:29

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coolbet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.95%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.95%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.11%2.1%2026-05-11 07:28
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.71%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.99%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%2.8%2026-05-11 11:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.71%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.99%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%2.8%2026-05-11 11:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.71%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.99%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%2.8%2026-05-11 11:49
Casumo🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%6.2%2026-05-11 11:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%6.2%2026-05-11 11:49
Grosvenor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%6.2%2026-05-11 11:50
Unibet (NL)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.92%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%6.2%2026-05-11 11:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.57%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%6.5%2026-05-11 11:49
1xBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.19%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.38%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.43%6.7%2026-05-11 13:25
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.92%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%8.3%2026-05-11 11:49
LeoVegas🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 36.92%2.48I 40.32%NM 36.92%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%9.2%2026-05-11 11:49
Winamax (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.70%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.50%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.81%10.5%2026-05-11 11:49
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.50%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%11.1%2026-05-11 10:10
Unibet (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.33%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.12%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.55%11.6%2026-05-11 13:24
Betclic (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.48%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%3.63I 27.55%NM 24.57%12.1%2026-05-11 11:48
PMU (FR)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 36.67%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.13%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.21%12.2%2026-05-11 11:50
Winamax (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.58%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.41%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.01%15.7%2026-05-11 11:49