The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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KooKoo v Tappara

Kickoff: 2026-10-20 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KooKoo (Local)

Prediction 34.75%2.88fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -0.968%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.81%34.75%34.73%35.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.732.722.8037.74%36.62%36.76%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tappara (Visit)

Prediction 65.25%1.53fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -5.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.32%65.25%65.27%66.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.441.441.4971.43%69.57%69.44%67.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KooKoo (Local): 34.75%; Tappara (Visit): 65.25%. For KooKoo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -2.71%; they did not produce positive expected value.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.71%E -0.968%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-20 15:05
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.71%E -0.968%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.69%E -4.68%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 22:35
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.71%E -0.968%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.69%E -4.68%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 22:35
Bally Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.71%E -0.968%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.69%E -4.68%K -15.55%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-17 22:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.45%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 15:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.45%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 15:34
888sport🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.45%E -1.62%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.04%E -4.19%K -13.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 15:38
NordicBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV -4.79%E -1.75%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.93%EV -3.43%E -2.31%K -7.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-20 09:40
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -2.77%E -1.86%K -5.66%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-20 04:35
Betsson🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.73%E -3.24%K -10.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-20 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.65%E -6.18%K -21.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-19 05:59
Coral🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.65%E -6.18%K -21.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-19 06:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.65%E -6.18%K -21.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-19 06:05
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.18%E -2.29%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.65%E -6.18%K -21.61%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-19 06:05
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -7.92%E -2.99%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -4.08%E -2.77%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-20 12:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.92%E -2.99%K -4.80%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.38%E -3.71%K -11.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-20 12:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%2.7%2026-10-20 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%2.7%2026-10-20 15:25
Smarkets◎2.56I 39.06%NM 36.00%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.00%8.5%2026-10-20 15:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coolbet🎯4.28I 23.36%NM 22.67%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.77%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.56%3.1%2026-10-20 09:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%3.4%2026-10-20 09:35
ATG (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%3.4%2026-10-20 09:35
Svenska Spel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.97%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.99%3.4%2026-10-20 09:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.08%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.72%5.8%2026-10-20 12:00
Grosvenor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%6.1%2026-10-20 09:30
Unibet (NL)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%6.1%2026-10-20 09:30
Unibet (SE)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%6.1%2026-10-20 09:30
Casumo🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.91%6.1%2026-10-20 09:30
1xBet🎯3.71I 26.95%NM 25.37%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.48%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.15%6.2%2026-10-20 15:05
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.02%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.67%8.6%2026-10-20 12:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.99%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.85%8.9%2026-10-20 12:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%10.5%2026-10-20 12:00
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%10.6%2026-10-20 11:59
Betclic (FR)🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 24.04%1.66I 60.24%NM 53.28%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%13.1%2026-10-20 15:03
Winamax (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.23%1.66I 60.24%NM 52.14%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.64%15.5%2026-10-20 12:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 25.82%1.63I 61.35%NM 51.49%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.68%19.1%2026-10-20 15:15