The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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KooKoo v Pelicans

Kickoff: 2026-10-03 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KooKoo (Local)

Prediction 48.33%2.07fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -3.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%48.27%48.43%48.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.951.981.982.0051.28%50.57%50.51%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pelicans (Visit)

Prediction 51.67%1.94fair odd
EV -3.38%
Edge -1.81%
Kelly -3.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.05%51.73%51.57%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.811.831.8757.80%55.15%54.64%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KooKoo (Local): 48.33%; Pelicans (Visit): 51.67%. For KooKoo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.07. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -3.34%; they did not produce positive expected value.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.34%E -1.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.44%E -2.97%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-10-03 09:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.34%E -1.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.99%E -3.88%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 14:00
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.34%E -1.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.99%E -3.88%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 14:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.34%E -1.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.99%E -3.88%K -8.74%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-01 14:04
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.34%E -1.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.61%E -6.13%K -14.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-03 09:04
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.34%E -1.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.61%E -6.13%K -14.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-01 06:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.34%E -1.67%K -3.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.61%E -6.13%K -14.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-01 06:05
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -4.31%E -2.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.38%E -1.81%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-03 11:40
Pinnacle🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.31%E -2.18%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.93%E -2.68%K -5.86%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-03 13:55
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.76%E -2.95%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.38%E -1.81%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-03 09:05
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.76%E -2.95%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.41%E -2.38%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 11:39
BetRivers🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.76%E -2.95%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.41%E -2.38%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 11:00
betPARX🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.76%E -2.95%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.41%E -2.38%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 11:05
Bally Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.76%E -2.95%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.41%E -2.38%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-03 11:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.76%E -2.95%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.99%E -3.88%K -8.74%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-03 09:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%5.2%2026-10-03 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%7.7%2026-10-03 13:55
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%8.2%2026-10-03 09:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.90%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%3.2%2026-10-03 10:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.90%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%3.2%2026-10-03 10:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.90%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.56%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.54%3.2%2026-10-03 10:25
Coolbet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.27%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.21%3.3%2026-10-03 09:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.63%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.78%5.1%2026-10-03 09:25
Grosvenor🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.87%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%6.0%2026-10-03 10:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.87%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%6.0%2026-10-03 10:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.87%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%6.0%2026-10-03 10:30
Casumo🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 35.87%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.63%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.50%6.0%2026-10-03 10:30
1xBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.07%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%6.7%2026-10-03 13:49
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%8.9%2026-10-03 09:10
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.32%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%10.1%2026-10-03 09:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.80%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.12%10.9%2026-10-03 09:25
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.95%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.62%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.43%12.2%2026-10-03 10:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.39%2.23I 44.84%NM 39.68%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.93%13.0%2026-10-03 13:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 36.65%2.15I 46.51%NM 40.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.28%16.1%2026-10-03 09:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 36.41%2.15I 46.51%NM 38.95%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.63%19.4%2026-10-03 09:20