The School of Odds
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KooKoo v Pelicans

Kickoff: 2026-04-02 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KooKoo (Local)

Prediction 69.76%1.43fair odd
EV -0.938%
Edge -0.661%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.67%69.58%70.18%71.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.371.371.4274.63%72.99%73.26%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pelicans (Visit)

Prediction 30.24%3.31fair odd
EV -0.214%
Edge -0.065%
Kelly -0.093%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.88%30.42%29.82%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.063.003.3035.71%32.65%33.33%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KooKoo (Local): 69.76%; Pelicans (Visit): 30.24%. For Pelicans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.31. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -0.214%; they did not produce positive expected value.

18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -0.938%E -0.661%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -9.29%E -3.10%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-02 09:14
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.33%E -1.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.31%E -4.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 09:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.33%E -1.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.31%E -4.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 09:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.33%E -1.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.31%E -4.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 09:14
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -2.33%E -1.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -12.31%E -4.24%K -6.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-02 09:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -2.33%E -1.67%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -15.33%E -5.48%K -8.52%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-02 09:35
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.43%E -3.23%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.73%E -0.531%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-02 09:54
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.35%EV -4.43%E -3.23%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -1.73%E -0.531%K -0.767%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-02 09:55
DraftKings🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.43%E -3.23%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.24%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-02 09:35
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.12%E -3.77%K -14.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -12.91%E -4.48%K -6.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-02 03:59
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -5.82%E -4.31%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -0.214%E -0.065%K -0.093%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-02 09:34
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.82%E -4.31%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.29%E -3.10%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.82%E -4.31%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.29%E -3.10%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.82%E -4.31%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.29%E -3.10%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 13:00
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.82%E -4.31%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -9.29%E -3.10%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-01 12:59
Bally Bet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.52%E -4.86%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.214%E -0.065%K -0.093%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 09:15
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -6.52%E -4.86%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -0.214%E -0.065%K -0.093%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-02 09:15
Pinnacle🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -6.52%E -4.86%K -19.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -1.73%E -0.531%K -0.767%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-02 09:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%5.6%2026-04-02 14:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%5.6%2026-04-02 14:00
Smarkets◎1.29I 77.52%NM 70.62%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.38%9.8%2026-04-02 15:00

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%3.0%2026-04-02 09:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%3.0%2026-04-02 09:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.78%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.65%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.57%3.0%2026-04-02 09:15
Coolbet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.06%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.39%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.55%3.1%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.10%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.71%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%4.9%2026-04-02 09:34
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%6.3%2026-04-02 09:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%6.3%2026-04-02 09:15
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%6.3%2026-04-02 09:35
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.69%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%6.3%2026-04-02 09:35
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%4.57I 21.88%NM 20.57%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.66%6.4%2026-04-02 09:55
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.24%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.70%8.4%2026-04-02 09:15
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.84%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%9.0%2026-04-02 05:00
Winamax (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.90%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.52%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%10.4%2026-04-02 09:34
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.17%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.51%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.31%11.4%2026-04-02 09:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 57.52%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.73%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.75%12.2%2026-04-02 05:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 55.05%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.34%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.61%14.3%2026-04-02 09:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 56.14%4.15I 24.10%NM 20.97%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.90%14.9%2026-04-02 09:38
Winamax (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 55.13%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.98%16.3%2026-04-02 09:39