The School of Odds
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KooKoo v Pelicans

Kickoff: 2026-04-07 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KooKoo (Local)

Prediction 70.35%1.42fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -3.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.54%70.38%69.54%72.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.321.4076.92%74.78%75.76%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pelicans (Visit)

Prediction 29.65%3.37fair odd
EV +2.29%
Edge +0.664%
Kelly +0.935%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.67%29.62%30.46%31.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.223.253.4532.79%31.10%30.77%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KooKoo (Local): 70.35%; Pelicans (Visit): 29.65%. For Pelicans (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.37. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.29%.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -7.14%E -5.41%K -22.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +2.29%E +0.664%K +0.935%G +0.021%4.7%2026-04-07 14:00
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.01%EV -7.84%E -5.99%K -25.29%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 27.99%EV -0.081%E -0.024%K -0.034%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-07 14:55
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-07 14:20
Coral🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-07 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-07 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.54%E -6.57%K -28.48%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -3.64%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-07 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.92%E -2.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 09:39
Betsson🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.92%E -2.11%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.60%E -2.10%K -3.07%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 09:40
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.18%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 08:14
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.32%E -3.18%K -12.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-07 09:00
DraftKings🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -1.51%E -1.08%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -9.57%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-07 14:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%5.3%2026-04-07 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%5.8%2026-04-07 15:15
Smarkets◎1.37I 72.99%NM 67.61%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.39%8.0%2026-04-07 14:55

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 57.09%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.11%3.0%2026-04-07 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.91%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.34%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.75%3.4%2026-04-07 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.68%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.63%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%5.1%2026-04-07 14:39
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.56%4.71I 21.23%NM 19.98%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%6.3%2026-04-07 14:55
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-04-07 14:00
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-04-07 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-04-07 14:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.90%6.5%2026-04-07 14:00
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 56.89%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.55%9.2%2026-04-07 14:40
LeoVegas🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.18%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%9.7%2026-04-07 14:00
Everygame🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.70%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.07%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.23%10.4%2026-04-07 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.59%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.53%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%10.6%2026-04-07 14:39
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.52%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.47%11.0%2026-04-07 14:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 57.82%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.83%12.3%2026-04-07 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 56.32%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.24%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%13.8%2026-04-07 14:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 55.98%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.99%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.03%16.0%2026-04-07 14:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 55.80%3.78I 26.46%NM 22.59%3.95I 25.32%NM 21.61%17.1%2026-04-07 15:10