Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.86
assuming max odds 2.08
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KooKoo (Local): 52.71%; Jukurit (Visit): 47.29%. For Jukurit (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.08, with an expected value of -1.63%; they did not produce positive expected value.
18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.69%EV -1.97%E -1.06%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.31%EV -5.88%E -2.96%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-26 13:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -2.49%E -1.35%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -6.36%E -3.21%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-26 13:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.49%E -1.35%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -8.25%E -4.25%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 09:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.49%E -1.35%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -8.25%E -4.25%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 09:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -2.49%E -1.35%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -8.25%E -4.25%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 09:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.13%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.05%E -1.49%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-26 12:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -5.13%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.05%E -1.49%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-26 13:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.13%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.41%E -2.71%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 12:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.13%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.41%E -2.71%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 12:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.13%E -2.85%K -6.41%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.41%E -2.71%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-26 12:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.71%E -3.79%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.41%E -2.71%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 09:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -7.24%E -4.11%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -1.63%E -0.782%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-26 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.40%E -6.12%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.05%E -1.49%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-26 09:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.40%E -6.12%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.05%E -1.49%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-26 09:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.40%E -6.12%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.05%E -1.49%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-26 09:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.40%E -6.12%K -14.86%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.05%E -1.49%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-26 09:35 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17% | 8.2% | 2026-09-26 12:35 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.08% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.34% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.58% | 3.0% | 2026-09-26 09:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.54% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63% | 3.2% | 2026-09-26 12:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.54% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63% | 3.2% | 2026-09-26 12:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.54% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.83% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.63% | 3.2% | 2026-09-26 12:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.53% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.54% | 6.2% | 2026-09-26 12:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.36% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94% | 6.3% | 2026-09-26 13:32 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 12:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 12:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 12:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76% | 6.5% | 2026-09-26 12:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.08% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.87% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.05% | 8.5% | 2026-09-26 10:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.10% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.34% | 9.6% | 2026-09-26 12:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.03% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.85% | 10.8% | 2026-09-26 12:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.68% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78% | 12.1% | 2026-09-26 12:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.66% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75% | 12.3% | 2026-09-26 12:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.74% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.36% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.89% | 13.1% | 2026-09-26 13:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.07% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.93% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00% | 16.0% | 2026-09-26 12:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.47% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 23.98% | 17.5% | 2026-09-26 12:35 |