Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.27
assuming max odds 1.75
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KooKoo (Local): 42.80%; Jokerit (Visit): 57.20%. For Jokerit (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.748. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.750, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.096%.
16 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -16.54%E -8.48%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV +0.096%E +0.055%K +0.128%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-22 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -16.54%E -8.48%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV +0.096%E +0.055%K +0.128%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-22 17:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -16.54%E -8.48%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV +0.096%E +0.055%K +0.128%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-23 10:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -16.54%E -8.48%K -17.41%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV +0.096%E +0.055%K +0.128%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-23 10:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-24 13:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.98%E -3.71%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-24 12:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.98%E -3.71%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-24 12:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.98%E -3.71%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.76%E -1.63%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-24 12:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.12%E -1.84%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.91%E -2.33%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-24 13:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-24 13:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.98%E -3.71%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.48%E -2.68%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-10-24 12:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.62%E -3.41%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-24 13:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -2.84%E -1.25%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -6.20%E -3.78%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-10-24 13:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.20%E -3.78%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-24 13:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.20%E -3.78%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-24 13:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.69%E -1.64%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.20%E -3.78%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-24 13:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.83%E -2.65%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.34%E -4.53%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-24 13:19 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.28% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.72% | 1.3% | 2026-10-24 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.39% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.61% | 7.7% | 2026-10-24 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 63.27% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 36.73% | 56.5% | 2026-10-24 13:55 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Option 3 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.72% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.16% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.12% | 3.0% | 2026-10-24 12:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25% | 3.3% | 2026-10-24 13:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25% | 3.3% | 2026-10-24 13:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.22% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.53% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.25% | 3.3% | 2026-10-24 13:04 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.14% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.73% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.13% | 5.5% | 2026-10-24 13:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.99% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.88% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.13% | 6.3% | 2026-10-24 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33% | 6.6% | 2026-10-24 13:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33% | 6.6% | 2026-10-24 13:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33% | 6.6% | 2026-10-24 13:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33% | 6.6% | 2026-10-24 13:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.74% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.81% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.45% | 8.6% | 2026-10-24 13:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.81% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96% | 8.9% | 2026-10-24 13:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.90% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45% | 11.4% | 2026-10-24 13:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 31.83% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 43.59% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58% | 13.0% | 2026-10-24 13:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.64% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 44.59% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.76% | 15.6% | 2026-10-24 13:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.24% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 44.03% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.73% | 17.1% | 2026-10-24 13:49 |