默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

KooKoo v Ilves

开赛时间： 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

18 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

46%

54%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

KooKoo (主队)

预测 46.07%2.17公平赔率

EV -0.957%

优势 -0.445%

Kelly -0.832%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.15

博彩公司预测分布

44.30%45.99%46.24%47.37%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.952.032.012.1551.28%49.25%49.75%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

Ilves (客队)

预测 53.93%1.85公平赔率

EV -2.92%

优势 -1.62%

Kelly -3.65%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布

52.63%54.01%53.76%55.70%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.711.761.761.8058.48%56.71%56.82%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：KooKoo (主队)：46.07%；Ilves (客队)：53.93%。对于“KooKoo (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.17。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.15，期望值为-0.957%，未产生正期望值。

有 19 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（3 个赛果，而分析采用 2 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -0.957%E -0.445%K -0.832%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.55%K -10.95%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-02-28 13:15
BetRivers🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.34%E -1.10%K -2.09%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.17%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-02-28 12:29
Bally Bet🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.34%E -1.10%K -2.09%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.17%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-02-28 12:30
betPARX🎯	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -2.34%E -1.10%K -2.09%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -6.70%E -3.87%K -9.17%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-02-28 12:31
DraftKings🎯	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.26%E -1.55%K -2.96%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.54%E -2.56%K -5.89%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-02-28 12:30
theScore Bet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.56%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.92%E -1.62%K -3.65%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-02-28 10:15
Bovada🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.56%E -2.71%K -5.30%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.16%E -3.54%K -8.32%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-02-28 12:20
NordicBet🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.95%E -3.44%K -6.81%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.00%E -2.25%K -5.13%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-28 10:25
Betsson🎯	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.95%E -3.44%K -6.81%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -4.00%E -2.25%K -5.13%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-28 10:25
888sport🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.92%E -1.62%K -3.65%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-02-27 22:04
William Hill🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.92%E -1.62%K -3.65%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-02-27 22:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.92%E -1.62%K -3.65%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-02-27 22:08
888sport (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.92%E -1.62%K -3.65%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-02-27 22:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.87%E -3.93%K -7.87%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.54%E -2.56%K -5.89%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-02-28 08:14
Neds🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.17%E -5.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.62%E -3.21%K -7.49%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-02-28 07:49
Coral🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.17%E -5.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.62%E -3.21%K -7.49%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-02-28 07:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.17%E -5.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.62%E -3.21%K -7.49%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-02-28 07:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.17%E -5.22%K -10.71%G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.62%E -3.21%K -7.49%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-02-28 07:49

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Smarkets◎	1.99I 50.25%NM 45.92%	1.69I 59.17%NM 54.08%	9.4%	2026-02-28 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎	1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%	1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%	10.0%	2026-02-28 14:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎	1.98I 50.51%NM 45.90%	1.68I 59.52%NM 54.10%	10.0%	2026-02-28 14:10

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (19)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司	选项 1	选项 2	选项 3	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Coolbet🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.67%	2.40I 41.67%NM 40.44%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%	3.0%	2026-02-28 10:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.89%	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.55%	3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56%	3.1%	2026-02-28 12:30
Svenska Spel🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.89%	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.55%	3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56%	3.1%	2026-02-28 12:30
ATG (SE)🎯	2.95I 33.90%NM 32.89%	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.55%	3.95I 25.32%NM 24.56%	3.1%	2026-02-28 12:31
Unibet (UK)🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.11%	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.76%	4.10I 24.39%NM 23.12%	5.5%	2026-02-28 10:15
1xBet🎯	2.73I 36.63%NM 34.48%	2.17I 46.08%NM 43.38%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.15%	6.2%	2026-02-28 14:45
Casumo🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%	6.5%	2026-02-28 12:30
Grosvenor🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%	6.5%	2026-02-28 12:30
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%	6.5%	2026-02-28 12:31
Unibet (NL)🎯	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.67%	3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%	6.5%	2026-02-28 12:30
Tipico (DE)🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.75%	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.84%	4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%	8.8%	2026-02-28 10:15
LeoVegas🎯	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.71%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%	8.9%	2026-02-28 12:29
Betway🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.31%	2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%	8.9%	2026-02-28 10:15
Everygame🎯	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%	3.75I 26.67%NM 24.10%	10.6%	2026-02-28 12:30
Winamax (DE)🎯	2.55I 39.22%NM 35.42%	2.15I 46.51%NM 42.01%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.58%	10.7%	2026-02-28 10:15
Paddy Power🎯	2.60I 38.46%NM 34.11%	2.10I 47.62%NM 42.24%	3.75I 26.67%NM 23.65%	12.7%	2026-02-28 10:15
Parions Sport (FR)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 35.24%	2.10I 47.62%NM 41.11%	3.65I 27.40%NM 23.65%	15.8%	2026-02-28 14:50
Winamax (FR)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 35.21%	2.05I 48.78%NM 42.08%	3.80I 26.32%NM 22.70%	15.9%	2026-02-28 10:15
Betclic (FR)🎯	2.45I 40.82%NM 34.98%	2.07I 48.31%NM 41.41%	3.63I 27.55%NM 23.61%	16.7%	2026-02-28 14:34