The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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KooKoo v Ässät

Kickoff: 2026-10-28 16:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KooKoo (Local)

Prediction 41.94%2.38fair odd
EV -2.29%
Edge -0.983%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.95%42.01%41.82%43.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.292.302.3345.45%43.72%43.48%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ässät (Visit)

Prediction 58.06%1.72fair odd
EV -1.29%
Edge -0.759%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.41%57.99%58.18%60.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.601.7065.36%62.35%62.31%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: KooKoo (Local): 41.94%; Ässät (Visit): 58.06%. For Ässät (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.72. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.70, with an expected value of -1.29%; they did not produce positive expected value.

17 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.29%E -0.983%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.10%E -4.44%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-28 15:35
Bally Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.29%E -0.983%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.10%E -4.44%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-28 15:35
betPARX🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -2.29%E -0.983%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -7.10%E -4.44%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-28 15:35
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -3.55%E -1.54%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.94%E -3.66%K -9.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-28 10:59
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.55%E -1.54%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-28 11:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.55%E -1.54%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-28 11:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -3.55%E -1.54%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -6.52%E -4.05%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-28 11:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -3.55%E -1.54%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.68%E -4.83%K -13.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-28 11:00
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -3.55%E -1.54%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -11.16%E -7.29%K -21.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-26 17:50
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -3.55%E -1.54%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -11.16%E -7.29%K -21.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-26 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -3.55%E -1.54%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -11.16%E -7.29%K -21.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-26 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -3.55%E -1.54%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -11.16%E -7.29%K -21.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-26 17:50
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.65%E -2.51%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.19%E -2.54%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-28 15:30
NordicBet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -6.06%E -2.71%K -4.89%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -2.45%E -1.46%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-28 16:25
Pinnacle🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -6.90%E -3.11%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.03%E -1.82%K -4.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-28 16:15
DraftKings🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -7.74%E -3.52%K -6.45%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -1.29%E -0.759%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-28 10:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.42I 41.32%NM 40.69%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.31%1.6%2026-10-28 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%4.9%2026-10-28 16:25
Smarkets◎2.26I 44.25%NM 40.99%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.01%7.9%2026-10-28 16:20

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (17)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.40%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.64%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.96%3.1%2026-10-28 11:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%3.1%2026-10-28 15:35
Svenska Spel🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%3.1%2026-10-28 15:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.38%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.53%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.09%3.1%2026-10-28 15:35
Unibet (UK)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.91%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.11%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%6.1%2026-10-28 11:00
1xBet🎯2.96I 33.78%NM 31.76%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.86%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%6.4%2026-10-28 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%6.7%2026-10-28 15:35
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%6.7%2026-10-28 15:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.83%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.87%6.7%2026-10-28 15:35
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%8.9%2026-10-28 11:04
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%9.6%2026-10-28 10:59
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.54%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.93%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%11.0%2026-10-28 11:00
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.04%1.88I 53.19%NM 47.88%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.08%11.1%2026-10-28 15:35
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%12.4%2026-10-28 10:58
Betclic (FR)🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 29.84%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.40%3.73I 26.81%NM 23.76%12.8%2026-10-28 16:08
Winamax (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 30.84%1.86I 53.76%NM 46.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.73%15.8%2026-10-28 10:59
Unibet (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 30.39%1.79I 55.87%NM 45.83%3.45I 28.99%NM 23.78%21.9%2026-10-28 16:19