The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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KooKoo v Ässät

2026-10-28 16:30 UTC — Liiga

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

KooKoo (Local)

Prediction 38.16%2.62fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -0.898%
Kelly -1.47%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.79%38.16%38.31%39.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.472.482.5641.67%40.52%40.32%39.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ässät (Visit)

Prediction 61.84%1.62fair odd
EV -3.54%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -6.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.61%61.84%61.69%63.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.541.561.5667.11%64.85%64.10%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: KooKoo (Local): 38.16%; Ässät (Visit): 61.84%. For KooKoo (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.56, with an expected value of -2.30%; they do not produce positive expected value.

7 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.56I 39.06%NM 36.79%EV -2.30%E -0.898%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.21%EV -7.86%E -5.28%K -16.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-25 19:06
NordicBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.59%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-25 19:00
Betsson🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -5.35%E -2.16%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -4.77%E -3.10%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-25 19:00
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 19:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.41%E -3.50%K -6.00%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.54%E -2.27%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-25 19:06
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.53%10.1%2026-10-25 19:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-25 18:42
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-25 18:42

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (7)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.65%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.59%6.0%2026-10-25 19:05
1xBet🎯3.38I 29.59%NM 27.83%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.87%6.3%2026-10-25 19:00
Winamax (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.73%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.95%10.3%2026-10-25 19:05
Betclic (FR)🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 27.94%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.38%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.68%11.1%2026-10-25 19:05
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%11.6%2026-10-25 19:04
Unibet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.07%1.79I 55.87%NM 47.82%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.11%16.8%2026-10-25 19:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 28.80%1.74I 57.47%NM 48.00%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.20%19.7%2026-10-25 19:05