The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Kiekko-Espoo v KooKoo

Kickoff: 2026-10-21 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kiekko-Espoo (Local)

Prediction 71.04%1.41fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.906%
Kelly -3.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.97%70.92%71.04%72.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.341.331.3976.34%74.66%74.91%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KooKoo (Visit)

Prediction 28.96%3.45fair odd
EV -0.944%
Edge -0.276%
Kelly -0.390%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.70%29.08%28.96%31.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.213.273.4233.33%31.18%30.58%29.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kiekko-Espoo (Local): 71.04%; KooKoo (Visit): 28.96%. For KooKoo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.42, with an expected value of -0.944%; they did not produce positive expected value.

16 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -1.26%E -0.906%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-21 12:14
NordicBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.75%EV -3.39%E -2.49%K -9.42%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.25%EV -4.71%E -1.43%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-21 09:09
theScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -7.32%E -2.29%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-21 13:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -13.11%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-21 10:50
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -13.11%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-21 10:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -13.11%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-21 10:49
Neds🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -4.10%E -3.04%K -11.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -13.11%E -4.37%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-21 10:49
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -4.81%E -3.59%K -14.15%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.87%E -1.81%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-10-21 09:10
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-21 13:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-21 13:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -4.42%E -1.34%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-21 13:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.52%E -4.15%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -10.21%E -3.29%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-21 13:05
BetRivers🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.97%E -0.887%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-21 09:45
Bally Bet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.97%E -0.887%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-21 09:44
betPARX🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -6.23%E -4.72%K -19.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.97%E -0.887%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-21 09:45
Pinnacle🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.30%EV -6.94%E -5.30%K -22.40%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.70%EV -0.944%E -0.276%K -0.390%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-21 15:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%7.4%2026-10-21 15:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 42.44%1.01I 99.01%NM 57.56%72.0%2026-10-21 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.37I 72.99%NM 42.44%1.01I 99.01%NM 57.56%72.0%2026-10-21 15:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
Coolbet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.61%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.59%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.79%3.1%2026-10-21 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.66%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.36%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.98%3.3%2026-10-21 09:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.66%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.36%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.98%3.3%2026-10-21 09:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.66%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.36%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.98%3.3%2026-10-21 09:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.77%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.77%5.4%2026-10-21 15:14
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.93%4.51I 22.17%NM 20.86%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%6.3%2026-10-21 15:24
Grosvenor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%6.6%2026-10-21 09:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%6.6%2026-10-21 09:45
Casumo🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%6.6%2026-10-21 09:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.31%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.54%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%6.6%2026-10-21 09:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.27%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.76%8.8%2026-10-21 15:25
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%11.1%2026-10-21 15:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.70%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.83%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.47%11.7%2026-10-21 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.04%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.36%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.60%12.9%2026-10-21 15:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 58.81%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.09%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.10%15.7%2026-10-21 15:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 57.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.01%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.01%19.0%2026-10-21 15:24