Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kiekko-Espoo v KooKoo

Kickoff: 2026-09-09 15:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

52%

26%

22%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kiekko-Espoo (Local)

Prediction 52.00%1.92fair odd

EV -4.84%

Edge -2.65%

Kelly -5.83%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

50.96%52.02%51.82%52.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.681.781.781.8359.52%56.33%56.18%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

KooKoo (Visit)

Prediction 26.15%3.82fair odd

EV +1.97%

Edge +0.505%

Kelly +0.679%

Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

24.83%26.12%26.34%27.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.153.613.603.9031.75%27.70%27.78%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 21.85%4.58fair odd

EV -1.66%

Edge -0.368%

Kelly -0.473%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

20.91%21.86%21.85%22.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.954.234.254.5025.32%23.62%23.53%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kiekko-Espoo (Local): 52.00%; KooKoo (Visit): 26.15%; Draw: 21.85%. For KooKoo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.97%.

18 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Draw	Margin	Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.91%EV -4.84%E -2.65%K -5.83%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83%EV +1.97%E +0.505%K +0.679%G +0.013%	4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%EV -4.93%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-09-09 15:25
Svenska Spel🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.91%EV -4.84%E -2.65%K -5.83%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83%EV +1.97%E +0.505%K +0.679%G +0.013%	4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%EV -4.93%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-09-09 15:25
ATG (SE)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.91%EV -4.84%E -2.65%K -5.83%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 24.83%EV +1.97%E +0.505%K +0.679%G +0.013%	4.35I 22.99%NM 22.26%EV -4.93%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-09-09 15:25
Coolbet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%EV -4.84%E -2.65%K -5.83%G +0.000%	3.80I 26.32%NM 25.50%EV -0.644%E -0.170%K -0.230%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.54%EV -1.66%E -0.368%K -0.473%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-09-09 09:19
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -7.44%E -4.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -1.95%E -0.520%K -0.710%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -7.12%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-09 15:25
Grosvenor🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -7.44%E -4.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -1.95%E -0.520%K -0.710%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -7.12%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-09 15:25
Casumo🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -7.44%E -4.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -1.95%E -0.520%K -0.710%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -7.12%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-09 15:25
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.81%EV -7.44%E -4.18%K -9.54%G +0.000%	3.75I 26.67%NM 25.07%EV -1.95%E -0.520%K -0.710%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -7.12%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-09-09 15:25
Unibet (UK)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -4.84%E -2.65%K -5.83%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 26.35%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%	4.35I 22.99%NM 21.81%EV -4.93%E -1.13%K -1.47%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-09-09 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -9.00%E -5.14%K -12.00%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -5.87%E -1.63%K -2.26%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -8.21%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-09-09 10:44
PMU (FR)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 52.82%EV -12.64%E -7.52%K -18.59%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 25.00%EV -7.18%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 22.18%EV -12.58%E -3.15%K -4.19%G +0.000%	12.7%	2026-09-09 15:25
1xBet🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.40%E -3.56%K -8.00%G +0.000%	3.51I 28.49%NM 26.81%EV -8.23%E -2.34%K -3.28%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -1.66%E -0.368%K -0.473%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-09 15:00
Betway🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -6.40%E -3.56%K -8.00%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.49%E -2.43%K -3.40%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 21.86%EV -7.12%E -1.68%K -2.19%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-09-09 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 51.71%EV -9.52%E -5.47%K -12.87%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 26.86%EV -12.41%E -3.70%K -5.28%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 21.42%EV -8.21%E -1.96%K -2.57%G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-09-09 10:39
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -10.04%E -5.80%K -13.75%G +0.000%	3.32I 30.12%NM 26.64%EV -13.19%E -3.97%K -5.69%G +0.000%	3.98I 25.13%NM 22.23%EV -13.02%E -3.27%K -4.37%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-09-09 15:10
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 50.96%EV -10.04%E -5.80%K -13.75%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 26.72%EV -13.72%E -4.16%K -5.96%G +0.000%	3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32%EV -13.68%E -3.46%K -4.64%G +0.000%	13.4%	2026-09-09 15:19
Winamax (FR)🎯	1.68I 59.52%NM 51.19%EV -12.64%E -7.52%K -18.59%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 27.30%EV -17.64%E -5.60%K -8.20%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 21.50%EV -12.58%E -3.15%K -4.19%G +0.000%	16.3%	2026-09-09 14:25

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (18)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

Bookmaker	Option 1	Option 2	Margin ▲	Updated
theScore Bet🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 63.70%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.30%	4.0%	2026-09-09 10:39
NordicBet🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 64.52%	2.71I 36.90%NM 35.48%	4.0%	2026-09-09 15:25
DraftKings🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%	4.1%	2026-09-09 15:25
Betsson🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%	4.6%	2026-09-09 15:25
BetRivers🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%	5.1%	2026-09-09 15:25
betPARX🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%	5.1%	2026-09-09 15:24
Bally Bet🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%	5.1%	2026-09-09 15:24
888sport🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%	5.1%	2026-09-09 10:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%	5.1%	2026-09-09 10:39
888sport (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%	5.1%	2026-09-09 10:39
Pinnacle🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.75%	2.62I 38.17%NM 36.25%	5.3%	2026-09-09 14:31
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%	5.9%	2026-09-09 10:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%	7.6%	2026-09-09 10:40
Coral🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%	7.6%	2026-09-09 10:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%	7.6%	2026-09-09 10:39
Neds🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%	7.6%	2026-09-09 10:39
Paddy Power🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%	7.6%	2026-09-09 10:44
Smarkets◎	1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%	8.0%	2026-09-09 14:25