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Kiekko-Espoo v JYP
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kiekko-Espoo (Local)
Prediction 40.86%2.45fair odd
EV +1.33%
Edge +0.535%
Kelly +0.896%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.15%40.57%41.09%43.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.302.4847.62%43.85%43.48%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
JYP (Visit)
Prediction 35.72%2.80fair odd
EV -1.40%
Edge -0.508%
Kelly -0.797%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.76
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.12%35.94%35.65%37.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.612.652.7641.67%38.36%37.74%36.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.42%4.27fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -0.678%
Kelly -0.893%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.44%23.48%23.26%24.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.883.854.1527.40%25.77%25.97%24.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kiekko-Espoo (Local): 40.86%; JYP (Visit): 35.72%; Draw: 23.42%. For Kiekko-Espoo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.33%.
21 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.15%EV +1.33%E +0.535%K +0.896%G +0.012% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.96%EV -3.55%E -1.31%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%EV -8.67%E -2.22%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-04 10:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.32%EV -1.94%E -0.809%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.19%EV -1.76%E -0.640%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50%EV -7.50%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-04 13:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.32%EV -1.94%E -0.809%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.19%EV -1.76%E -0.640%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50%EV -7.50%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-04 14:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.32%EV -1.94%E -0.809%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.19%EV -1.76%E -0.640%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.50%EV -7.50%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-04 14:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.25%EV -4.80%E -2.06%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.33%E -2.01%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -9.84%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 13:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.25%EV -4.80%E -2.06%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.33%E -2.01%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -9.84%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 13:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.25%EV -4.80%E -2.06%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.33%E -2.01%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -9.84%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 13:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.25%EV -4.80%E -2.06%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.39%EV -5.33%E -2.01%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.36%EV -9.84%E -2.56%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.45%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.31%EV -3.55%E -1.31%K -2.09%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.25%EV -3.98%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-04 10:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.00%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -12.48%E -5.09%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.44%EV -3.98%E -0.972%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 15:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.21%EV -6.03%E -2.62%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.08%EV -10.69%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.71%EV -14.52%E -3.98%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-04 12:34 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -6.84%E -3.00%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.29%EV -7.12%E -2.74%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -12.18%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-04 13:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.19%EV -8.07%E -3.59%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.12%E -2.74%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.33%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 10:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -10.11%E -4.60%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.68%EV -10.69%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.78%EV -12.18%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-04 10:43 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.19%EV -10.93%E -5.01%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.12%EV -1.40%E -0.508%K -0.797%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.69%EV -2.81%E -0.678%K -0.893%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-03 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.59%EV -12.16%E -5.65%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.77%EV -10.69%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.64%EV -7.50%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-04 10:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.97%EV -12.16%E -5.65%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.23%EV -10.69%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.80%EV -13.35%E -3.61%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-03-04 13:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 41.08%EV -13.38%E -6.31%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.26%EV -11.76%E -4.76%K -8.00%G +0.000% | 3.68I 27.17%NM 23.66%EV -13.82%E -3.76%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-04 10:43 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.07%EV -14.20%E -6.76%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 35.93%EV -14.26%E -5.94%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00%EV -12.18%E -3.25%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-03-04 10:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (21)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 15:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.26% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.74% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 15:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 10:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 12:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 15:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 13:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 14:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 14:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 13:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 13:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 10:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 10:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 10:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 10:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 10:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 16:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93% | 7.0% | 2026-03-04 15:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38% | 7.8% | 2026-03-02 20:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38% | 7.8% | 2026-03-02 20:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38% | 7.8% | 2026-03-02 20:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38% | 7.8% | 2026-03-02 20:14 |