The School of Odds
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Kiekko-Espoo v Jokerit

2026-09-26 14:00 UTC — Liiga

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kiekko-Espoo (Local)

Prediction 62.08%1.61fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -5.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.61%61.93%62.03%62.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.531.531.5665.79%65.28%65.36%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jokerit (Visit)

Prediction 37.92%2.64fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.35%38.07%37.97%39.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.372.472.502.5542.19%40.54%40.00%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kiekko-Espoo (Local): 62.08%; Jokerit (Visit): 37.92%. For Kiekko-Espoo (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.61. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.56, with an expected value of -3.15%; they do not produce positive expected value.

16 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.15%E -2.02%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -8.99%E -3.75%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-25 19:19
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-25 19:25
DraftKings🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -4.40%E -2.85%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -3.69%E -1.45%K -2.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-25 19:14
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 19:15
BetRivers🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 19:14
Bally Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 19:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 19:14
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 19:19
betPARX🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.20%E -2.08%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-25 19:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.10%E -2.90%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-25 19:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.75%E -4.10%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-25 19:14
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.75%E -4.10%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-25 19:14
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -10.13%E -4.28%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-25 19:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.02%E -3.28%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -10.13%E -4.28%K -7.40%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-25 19:14
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -3.31%E -1.30%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-25 19:25
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -5.64%E -3.71%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -5.96%E -2.40%K -4.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-25 19:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.48I 67.57%NM 61.26%2.34I 42.74%NM 38.74%10.3%2026-09-25 19:20

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (16)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.64%3.9%2026-09-25 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.64%3.9%2026-09-25 19:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.86%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.50%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.64%3.9%2026-09-25 19:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.32%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.42%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.26%5.7%2026-09-25 19:20
1xBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%6.2%2026-09-25 19:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%7.0%2026-09-25 19:14
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%7.0%2026-09-25 19:14
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%7.0%2026-09-25 19:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.71%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%7.0%2026-09-25 19:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.07%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%8.8%2026-09-25 19:40
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.11%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.55%10.9%2026-09-25 19:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.71%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.68%3.98I 25.13%NM 22.61%11.1%2026-09-25 19:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.96%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.10%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.93%11.2%2026-09-25 19:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.69%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.64%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.68%13.1%2026-09-25 19:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 49.59%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.29%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.12%15.9%2026-09-25 19:25
Unibet (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 49.00%3.05I 32.79%NM 27.95%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.04%17.3%2026-09-25 19:20