The School of Odds
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Kiekko-Espoo v HIFK

2026-10-23 16:30 UTC — Liiga

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kiekko-Espoo (Local)

Prediction 58.25%1.72fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -1.63%
Kelly -4.07%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.06%58.14%58.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.631.621.6763.69%61.35%61.73%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HIFK (Visit)

Prediction 41.75%2.40fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -3.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.10%41.94%41.86%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.252.252.3045.45%44.40%44.44%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Kiekko-Espoo (Local): 58.25%; HIFK (Visit): 41.75%. For Kiekko-Espoo (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.72. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.67, with an expected value of -2.73%; they do not produce positive expected value.

13 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (3-way vs the 2-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.73%E -1.63%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.14%E -3.70%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-21 18:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.73%E -1.63%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.14%E -3.70%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-21 18:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.73%E -1.63%K -4.07%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.14%E -3.70%K -6.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-21 18:20
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -3.89%E -2.36%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -3.97%E -1.73%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-21 23:15
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.64%E -3.48%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.80%E -2.11%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-21 20:28
BetRivers🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.64%E -3.48%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.80%E -2.11%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-21 20:30
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.46%EV -5.64%E -3.48%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.54%EV -4.80%E -2.11%K -3.75%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-21 20:30
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.64%E -3.48%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.06%E -2.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 18:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.64%E -3.48%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.06%E -2.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 19:00
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.64%E -3.48%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.06%E -2.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-21 23:15
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.72%EV -6.22%E -3.86%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.28%EV -4.39%E -1.91%K -3.40%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-21 23:00
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.55%E -5.45%K -15.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.06%E -2.69%K -4.84%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-21 18:23
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.57I 63.69%NM 57.68%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.32%10.4%2026-10-21 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-22 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-10-22 00:15

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (13)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Option 3Margin ▲Updated
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.88%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%2.8%2026-10-21 21:45
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.88%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%2.8%2026-10-21 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.88%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.40%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.72%2.8%2026-10-21 21:44
Unibet (UK)🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.71%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.04%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%5.7%2026-10-21 18:24
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.63%3.07I 32.57%NM 30.68%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.70%6.2%2026-10-21 22:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%6.4%2026-10-21 21:45
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%6.4%2026-10-21 21:45
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%6.4%2026-10-21 21:45
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.80%6.4%2026-10-21 21:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.76%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.71%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.53%10.4%2026-10-21 18:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.46%2.98I 33.56%NM 30.21%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%11.1%2026-10-21 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 44.84%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.66%19.3%2026-10-21 18:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 45.31%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.88%3.50I 28.57%NM 23.82%20.0%2026-10-21 18:30